Cloudscapes in the morning
While we are sleeping tight
Are rolling by like thunder now

18th January @ 02:46. This spell runs to around the 26th January. However it not all that different from the next one, which is @ 07:55.

By that I mean the next one is for tornadoes whilst this incoming is part way between tornadic and thunderous. All in all, three quite closely related spells so more earthquakes or tropical storms to see them out, no doubt. But that's for February.

A fine spell breaks the chain, so you'll have to wait for the nod on that one.

2:30 and presumably 8:30 am and pm, are more like tornadoes and maybe derechos than thunder. But in Britain if the resultant declinations are anything like 60 degrees south of the North Sea, it's a bad (good if like me you enjoy fireworks) time for thunder.

I believe that the recent earthquakes in and around Japan have broken the chain of tremors in the USA. Though looking at the NEIC Rat Islands is responding the east coast highs. I have the feeling that's good news unless you are a Kansas farmer.

Whatever the case, this series has now had time to settle into the normality for its spell. On the Atlantic sea level pressure chart, the occluded fronts look set for more multiple earthquakes so no tropical storms just yet.

All in all it's going to be an very interesting few days. Take great care.

And good luck. May god be with you.


33 thoughts on “02:46

  1. The Noon Atlantic chart showed a deep Low off Ireland in the same place that there was one before I called thos Japanes quakes a couple of days back so look out if you live on that archipelago off China, Russia.Meanwhile, on the Unysis Chart, the Highs of North America are powering the Rat Islands. If the east coastal stuff is 80 degrees distant (IF! – I haven't checked) the west coast highs have to 40 degrees distnt, no?Which begs the question why such mutliples. I suppose I'd better check the facts before I jump any further.Over the North Pole at last, the Low has been replaced by an High. I don't think it's a very high High.I'll load that chart. Heck, hang the expense, Opera can stand for the series. (Or not, as the case may be.)

  2. There isn't much point in trying to post them all on here as they are difficult to see. Here is the link to the albumAt the moment they consist of the Unisys, Northern Hemisphere charts and the N Atlantic for around midnight on the 15th and around mi day on the 17th.The differences in the North Atlantic Charts are mainly the two Lows on the 15th are 958 mb to the west and 966 mb to the east just off Ireland. And on the 17th there are more lows a 952 mb to the west and a 958 mb to the east and again they are off Ireland. Slight differences. Differences in the high pressures. and quantity of them. That Low is interesting though. The one near Ireland. Only there is really bad weather here. A death was reported in Ireland.Originally posted by BBC:

    A motorist in her 30's has been killed in County Down after a tree blown down by strong winds struck her car. It happened on Strangford Road in Downpatrick at 1600 GMT as storms caused travel chaos and left 24,000 homes without power at one stage.

    The low has moved north as the last one did and the earthquake off Asia the Kuril Islands or Japan is imminent. The low is 947 mb now, on the 18:00 chart. Judging by the fronts I'd say there were a couple in the pipeline again. Just like last time. Maybe two 7.3 Mags.

  3. Posted some more to the album.In the case of this Low, I can't see it getting any lower. We are looking at 10 magnitudes of earthquake intensity. 4 becomes 5 or 5 becomes 6 sort of thing. When these two Low pressure systems meet each other, the pressure will go up not down, because at 944 mb the physics of the fluid is likely to go critical.So something is about to break. I've only got one of those toy barometers that furniture shops sometimes sell. The thing goes down to 27 1/2" and up to 31 1/2". But the millibars are only shown to 938 (and 1066) so that is a pretty serious Low now heading to Iceland or Norway.Whilst the MetO chart shows a number of Low centres, the Sat 24 loop picks out the main ones of interest. (Opera doesn't show it as a loop -the same goes with the USA Unisys charts.)I put the natural light image on there too because it shows an interesting face (ref to another blog entry) the IR image is the one to look at. I couldn't see how to stop the loop to select the image I wanted. The latest USA image shows all the wet weather is circulating around the Great Lakes, bracketed by Highs. The Rat Island quakes will continue until the weather breaks.If I'd been looking at the 5.0 M. and greater:http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php instead of the 2.5 M. and up:http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.phpI would have suspected a major tropical was building.But there is nothing on the cards for that so far. I was -edit< pretty sure that deep Atlantic low is going to Norway north of Bergen, maybe Trondheim unless it gets popped first by that one coming at it from the west.So the quakes will be over an arc from Sri Lanka, Bangkok, Quanzhou, Honshu, Guadalupe right through Mexico to Tampico, the down the Isthmus, through Colombia and southern Venezuela, just north of Salvador on the coast of Brazil, across Africa from the border of Namibia and to the tip of Madagascar.At the Seychelles I'd suspect stormy weather, then it's through the Indian Ocean to Sri Lanka again. That's on an arc from Bergen. That's a lot of people to advise to sleep outdoors well away from falling roof tiles.On an hunch.

  4. It does seem like an impossible task securing the safety of those who are at risk during periods of increased earthquake. And they always occur in periods of unpleasant weather.It has to do with criticallity in fluid mechanics. That magic number: 6.But fortunately we do have a work around, what code breakers used to call a crib or cheat. Something that occurred to me watching a programme on the telly earlier today.It was a clip about the weather station on one of the peaks in the Cairngorms. The interviewee said the records from it only cover the last 30 years. Not enough to provide good statistics.But if you use the times of the phases as the backdrop to that data there should be plenty of cross references that will allow the data to be more useful.I'd always wanted to be able to use the idea in archaeology. But with so many variables it is not possible. But that is off the track. More to the point for the present is that previous data on earthquake activity is fairly easily collected from databses such as the one the NEIS holds.Red Puma is another:http://www.seismo.ethz.ch/redpuma/redpuma.htmlJapan's is:http://wwweic.eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp/index-e.htmland our own is on here somewhere:http://www.bgs.ac.uk/Which has this linked to it: SHETLAND ISLES 15 JANUARY 2009 05:32 UTC 3.3 ML The following preliminary information is available for this earthquake: DATE : 15 January 2009 ORIGIN TIME : 05:32 29.3s UTC LAT/LONG : 60.305° North / 1.380° West GRID REF : 434.26 kmE / 1157.975 kmN DEPTH : 17.5 km MAGNITUDE : 3.3 ML LOCALITY : Shetland Isles INTENSITY : 4 EMS COMMENTS : Felt Shetland BGS have received a number of reports of an earthquake from residents in the Shetland Isles on 15 January. The earthquake had a magnitude of 3.3 with an epicentre on the Shetland Isles.There are around three earthquakes of this size in the UK every year. So that 3.3 counts like this 6.7 Mag. just now:2009/01/18 @ 14:12 30.1 S. 178.0 West Kermadec Islands NZ.6.7s are even more common there. Kermadec is nowhere near that 80 degree remit that I was going to bang on about so I'll leave it there for now.

  5. If you click on the map on the entries for Rat Island the NEIC list will open it for you. If the Aleutians were the Rockies it would be San Fransisco.It seems to get the quakes when the weather leaving is High pressure. When it is Low Pressure it appears to be Fox Islands that gets it.When the air pressure is entering on the west coast at the same time as it is leaving the east coast (when the USA is bracketed, so to speak) the intensity of the quakes doubles.It gets 2 or 3 "magnitude"s instead of 4 or 5s. The problem is that I haven't got anything that gives a more sensitive plot than that Unisys site. But it's good enough for a rule of thumb.If they had anyone honest at these geophysical centres, they should be able to take it from there. Too much to ask just now of course.Still, never mind, eh? Mustn't grumble.One chap who posts occasionally to where I have posted over the years has read my stuff. His only comment is that I don't know how to do a decent search of their records.He's an expert in tornadoes. Can't forecast them like me though. -Is that bragging? I don't mean to. My forecasts aren't good enough for anything past an aside. You couldn't warn anyone of anything imminent.But it would give sky-watchers a chance to get organised weeks in advance.

  6. Originally posted by an earlier post by y'rs truly:

    At the Seychelles I'd suspect stormy weather, then it's through the Indian Ocean to Sri Lanka again. That's on an arc from Bergen. That's a lot of people to advise to sleep outdoors well away from falling roof tiles.

    Fanele (Mozambique Channel) 50 Knot winds.Eric (S. Indian Ocean) 34 Knot windshttp://www.stormbanner.com/http://satellite.ehabich.info/hurricane-watch.htmNot a lot but it put a kaibosh on Japan's quakes, so someone got lucky:5.1 2009/01/19 17:29 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES5.1 2009/01/19 11:13 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN5.3 2009/01/19 03:46 SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS5.1 2009/01/19 03:38 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA6.8 2009/01/19 03:35 SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS5.3 2009/01/19 03:30 SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS5.2 2009/01/19 01:06 NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA5.1 2009/01/19 00:14 NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA5.1 2009/01/18 21:17 ALASKA PENINSULA6.7 2009/01/18 14:11 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALANDI don't think I did too bad considering. I also had an inkling that the Low in question was going to behave rather differently to the normal run of events. I got a pair of large quakes like I said there would be. That's the main thing.They would have been larger without those storms and the regions they occured in may have been affected by them too. I can't say. One day someone whose bootlaces I am not fit to undo will prove it and find out why.I am content to be a voice crying in the wilderness until then.It's gone midnight here so I will post the N Atlantic Charts for the run tomorrow so you can see what I mean, tomorrow. Or later today, that is.

  7. Originally posted by me:

    18th January @ 02:46. This spell runs to around the 26th January. However it not all that different from the next one, which is @ 07:55.

    1:30 is heavy rain. 2:00 is heading for tornadoes. 2:30 is tornadoes once the spell settles in. 3:00 is for thunder.The spell should change noticeably, whilst still retaining a lot of similarities. As was the case with the spell before this one against this one.But with all that intense tropical activity earthquakes and storms, the weather here is bound to be different to the expected.Oof! Man, it's hard to juggle with this stuff. I hate looking at tropical storm records. That's a real boner. And I'm too wound up to sleep. Good-oh.I was sad that I had no shoes until I met a man who had no feet. So I stole his shoes and ran away. They didn't fit me but fortunately he had stashed his life's savings in them.So I bribed a kid to steal me a pair of Guccis.I bribed him with the shoes I'd stolen.

  8. 2009/01/202.6 M. @ 09:14:10 Central California.3.7 M. @ 09:12:27 Central California.2.5 M. @ 09:12:07 Central California.2.9 M. @ 09:09:16 Central California.3.5 M. @ 08:57:23 Central California.2.8 M. @ 08:37:20 Central California.3.7 M. @ 08:14:43 Central California.2.9 M. @ 06:50:46 Central California.2.7 M. @ 06:07:49 Central California.3.8 M. @ 06:06:00 Central California.2.7 M. @ 06:01:54 Central California.That's a chnange in the weather for you. Perhaps the rain will ease off here nxt. It is certainly a very nice morning.

  9. 6.8 2009/01/19 03:35 SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS6.7 2009/01/18 14:11 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALANDThese have now been marked down to 6.5 and 6.4 respectively.Which according to geophysics is a drop of 3 orders of magnitude each. (If I understand the matter correctly.) I still claim they did what I expected because I don't get an hit from the second coming. I only connect with initial impressions.They inevitably mark large quakes down one or two magnitudes I believe. I don't do follow ups so if I only see the first hits that's what I'm predicting for.Still a mark down of 3 m is quite a lot. Ah well. It has never occurred to me that the seismologists can have trouble with their models the way that meteorologists do.I should have expected them to be a lot better than astronomers.Still, it makes me feel a little less like the country cousin.

  10. Ive added the charts of the odd behaviour of that Low pressure system to an album on here:http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/albums/show.dml?id=680093They need sorting. I've had a busy day and am knackered ATM. So that must wait. Basically one of the Lows on the 17th runs north from just off Ireland up past Scotland to Faeroes. Then, east of Iceland it suddenly starts going AWOL.It goes N of Iceland then NW, W then S of Greenland.Then it suddenly comes apart. Meteorologists have a great deal of difficulty explaining vorticity. They know the symptoms and so for the short term the life of a Low for example, they can usually forecast its behaviour. And do so very well too.They might even be able to explain how a Low of 958 millibars can become three in a line at 970 to 973 millibars. I know I have explained it. At least, I have to suit me.Needless to say it's online somewhere but I think if the explanation is lost I will take it to my grave. Why should I show all and sundry what I can do? If they won't be told that's their problem..And god's.Let him sort it he's stronger than I am.

  11. Well, that sounded rather pensive, did it not? I was just organizing those charts when I decided to check the one before. Then I had to laugh at myself. The experts already KNOW about the behaviour, they just never mentioned it.Perhaps they assumed that it was a given. More likely they presumed it was a given and couldn't explain it.But I like to think that hey presumed it was a given and couldn't explain it but didn't want me to know. But then I can be a miserable, indisciminate bastard.A long time ago the British car industry released a flock of pigeons to become ferral. In an agricultural community, the local farmer could go to the village pub and find any spare labour he needed when things got busy.He'd keep a quorum of the best workers if he could finding make-work for them in preparation for the times their skill were needed.Motor manufacturers operating from the places in the country where the local landowner's son had got interested in them suddenly found they could expand their business and sell to town-dwellers where horse ownership was a problem.Previously it had devolved on the rural dwelling rich to replace the horse with the car. But a car can be parked at the roadside unattended, any time of the day or night.And so the car industry was born. And they still used the hire and fire agricultural practice. But with the need to expand came the engineers; locksmiths and watchmakers from the city. They'd take anybody who worked metal, once the coach-building gave way to manufacturies.Eventually the whole order fell down dead as city people got seasonally laid off. It's one thing to lay off a bunch of farm labourers. They can grow their own food and find their own fish and fowl.It's another thing to expect that from city people, they'd starve.So they got organised and put a stop to such mismanagement. Then the factory owners came up with the sceme to replace stop start economics with sabotage. They instigated strikes. And so we'd get seasonal strikes in Britain right up to the time of Margaret Thatcher.Then the country went broke. So the replacement government removed the shackles from the banks and then the world went broke.Quite funny really but I have strayed from the point, sorry:Those pigeons cam home to roost. Now I have forgotten what I wasthinking so I'll have to come back to it anon.

  12. It's frosty out. It was frosty yesterday. The weather is a lot nicer if you don't mind the cold. The skies are beautiful.Something has obviously "happened" to change the face of the earth. How can it go from warm, dull and wet to frosty, bright and dry in the same spell?There is a gathering spot off Iceland/Greenland where a cloud of waves gather in the sky. They circle around themselves. I don't think that is explained as vorticity.I'm not even sure what the term is supposed to mean. When pigeons flock, they gather together to choose the leader and the way to go. When they go to feed some go as guards and some drop to the food. Then it's everyone for themselves.It's much the same with all group feeders. One or two take the plunge and the rest follow. Sometimes it's whichever is local as with buzzards and vultures. Sometimes it's just individuals realising the same thing at the same time.You can sometimes see that in cold still mists when hoards of sea gulls soar silently to a feeding spot all at the same time at the same speed from all over the region.What can they see in the mists?But they all silently arrive at the shore and land in the water in a flock several miles long. It's a rare sight but a regular one.When "a" low deepens it does so when other waves join to it. When this happens the "vorticity" (to coin a phrase) is seen as "a" cyclone. This can be a tornado or any one of the "storms" on the Beaufort, Saffir, Simpson scale.Every increase of so many intensities (in my mind it is some 10 to 15 or so millibars) represents the equivalent intensity to earthquakes in the region of what I believe seismologists call 10 orders of magnitude.Roughly one to one.I don't see it that way of course though the results are much the same.My point of view is that with most buildings it is a shock of 6.0M that brings the house down. I'm not really concerned with the increments from 5 to 6. They are of course important. But then so is the building architecture and the standard of proficiency of the builder.It is impossible to correlate one with the other. You can of course identify regions with poor techniques, criminal activity and stubborn ignorance. It is indeed a pity that such regions are the ones that tend to have massive quakes.Or are they?You see it when the pigeons come home to roost.In ancient Tibet for example they understood how to build stone houses that could withstand periodical massive earthquakes. Their solution was to build with mortar that could shift a little and to insert a course of wood every three or so courses.Then China occupied the place and nowadays the building is in the hand of people who don't even know how to mix mortar. I's like the oversight of the building of a school is given to a nursery school mistress. China is run very much by nursery school mistresses.Cruel ones.Greedy, corrupt and stupid ones at that.Wouldn't you think that if you don't know what you are doing, you could ask somebody?


  14. Originally posted by PainterWoman:

    ust found one of Arizona's earthquake info sites:http://www4.nau.edu/geology/aeic/EQhistory.html but it hasn't been updated since 2006. I wonder why?

    Hint => aeic/EQhistory.htmlYou can specify what, where and when on the ANS server, I think that's the name, I'll have to check. It's a bit of a pain filling in forms and to be honest I am not to sure of the different intensity scales they specify.Here is something that you might like:http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap090121.html*******ANSS:http://www.ncedc.org/anss/catalog-search.htmlhttp://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/monitoring/anss/

  15. I just went to the Arizona Uni site and looked at this:http://activetectonics.la.asu.edu/N_tien_shan/N_tien_shan.htmlThey follow up stuff from 100 years ago. I lose interest when it slips down the page a couple of days. I can't even remember much about the last spell unless I look it up. Even then it isn't the same at all.It might as well be dead and gone. I try to think what was going on at the same time but they all disappear in a mist of other quakes and storms.I can look at Atlantic Charts nowadays and the other weather ones but it is a major pain searching out old quakes and tropical storms. Going back 10 years is pointless as databases are not the same if they even exist.There is no way they can do much with what they have to go on from the shape of the region and its chemistry. They might be able to find the crystals that react to acoustic waves though if they go back over their data.The research is a bit dated. 2005 was before the papers started appearing about far field earthquaking. There again they'd have been the first to read about it. Peer review and all that.Thanks for the links. There is so much to look at and so much to learn or unlearn.

  16. Boat anchors (as opposed to ship anchors.) I knew there was something to them:2009/01/216.3 M. @ 17:09. SOUTH EAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS.For some reason I can't see the notes I pinned to the charts. Which seems a bloody stupid thing for Opera to screw up. It would help if it was a little easier to post charts to comments too.Anyway, on with the job:There is something about the 958 millibar level in these spells. They appear regional do they not? Like, when they are at a certain part of the track they are so and so pressure, at another part, so and so other pressure and at yet another part they reach critical points.And the dead are buried.

  17. It is a derecho cloud. The other end is on an hill on the horizon behind the photographer.In Britain it wouldn't be so much a wind bringer as flash flooder.Pity the times and dates are missing. It's obviously sunset or dawn. I forget which direction he said he was looking. In Britain where I lived they's be at a tidal position at maximum. You could set your tide table by it.But then you can say the same for any geophysical event at its peak. Even miles and miles inland. Of course in those cases the lunar factors will be different to those of the nearest shoreline.Compare Galveston with the Bay of Fundy and Seattle. The algorithms are different.

  18. The weather should change in a day or so. The 936 has gone to Iceland and the 958 the other side of Greenland (the one I was following has started to fade back into the trough at 988 millibars.)Underneath England in the Bay of Biscay the wave that was just a blip in the middle of the Atlantic at 1001 just 24 hours ago, has now become a threatening dart-board of 963 with a boat anchor following it at 978 millibars.So more 6's befor this spell winds down. Or maybe a couple of near 7's as the next one replaces it? What fe Highs there are are very low pressure. So maybe it will be …..errrmmmmm…If it's not volcanic what's the other one? Tornadoes or/and earthquake swarms. No, that earthquake swarm would be a major quake like a 7.5 M..I do know but I am too lazy to look.I'll be kicking myself later. What other megga geo-phenomena are there? Above cloud lightning which I have never forecast, landslides ditto and volcanoes which require both the Highs and the Lows to be nondescript.I suppose I had better go with tornadoes then.Ah, stupid me… Tropical storm. I knew there was one missing. That's it then, more trouble for Australia or Madagasgar.Off to bed. I'm malfunctioning today.I need to switch my computer off and on.

  19. Current Northwest Pacific/North Indian Ocean* Tropical Systems:No Current Tropical Cyclone Warnings.* Includes Bay of Bengal and Arabian SeaCurrent Central/Eastern Pacific Tropical Systems:No Current Tropical Cyclone Warnings.Current Southern Hemisphere Tropical Systems:Tropical Cyclone 09S (Fanele) Warning #09 Final WarningIssued at 22/2100ZCurrent Significant Tropical Weather Advisories:ABPW10 (Western/South Pacific Ocean)Reissued at 23/2230ZABIO10 (Indian Ocean)Issued at 23/1800Zhttp://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php

  20. I'll do one for that 966 at Biscay when that breaks up. We already know what the 954 at Iceland is going to do, don't we children?http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsfaxbra.html Lots of "boat anchors" on there at the moment (Mid day in Britain on Saturn-Deii, 24th of January in the 2009th year of our lord plus or minus 3 years. (I keep forgetting which.) I'll post the rest of the charts at the end of the spell.)

  21. The notification for lows in the above link in th South Seas still stands. But what do you think of these 5 M's?MAP 5.8 2009/01/24 01:28:43 -28.230 -176.737 35.0 KERMADEC ISLANDS REGIONMAP 5.0 2009/01/24 00:36:14 0.118 97.046 35.0 NIAS REGION, INDONESIAMAP 5.0 2009/01/23 21:27:58 -30.293 -177.763 35.0 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALANDThe demise of the last of the Madagasgars has dropped off the page. Are those two Kermadec quakes a matched pair. I am talking about wave nodes here. Two trains meeting turn a 1M into a 2M. A third node makes an even bigger one. I'm guessing but seven waves meeting at the same spot at the same time makes a 7 Mag quake.Are these quakes of that sort far enough apart now to signify the death of storms?Obviously not if another quake has had time to intrude. But they are not really that close together either:28.2 South 176.8 West as oppsed to 30.3 S. 177.8 W. is something like three quarters of…(Hmm.. funny how your mind wonders, I'd always been bothered by the fact that storms off the US E coast were always 80 degrees from the Aleut quakes. I always wanted them to be 90 degrees to fit any potential field force theory. But I digress*.)The diagonal of a square is soemthing like 0.7 and a bit of the length and breadth. So the diagonal for a 2 X 1 is about 3/4 of 3, which is 2 1/4 degrees away. Close enough but in this case, no cigar.They were something like 4 hours apart.* To get back to that was it 80 or was it 90 degrees thing:We are looking at curved angles here. I have not really explored this idea that 80 degrees can in reality be nearer 90.But I have made this sort of mistake before:http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/2008/11/05/flat-earthBut I was using a disk that covered 90 degrees so was I right or wrong?Here is a site that takes the stress out of the maths:http://www.movable-type.co.uk/scripts/latlong.htmlYou just plug in the storm centre you were watching until it disappeared and then the location of the relevant earthquakes. It should turn up interesting intervals of regular geometric distances.Sounds simple but it's still a lot of work until you get used to doing them. I am not going to do a worked example. I don't like maths and if you are interested, you will do it yourself anyway.The only good thing about maths as far as I can see is that it is a universal language. Not for me of course but anyone in Japan, China or Vietnam will see instantly what a Spaniard, Yank, Norwegian or a Ruskie will be on about.Or not, as the case may be.

  22. For some reason I missed the 06:00 charts, yet I swear I thought I'd saved them. No search has found them whatever.And in that was the all important one I find!Twas ever thus. I found it.Not.

  23. 23:00. 10 miles? ESE of Willows, Glen County, California.39.5 N. 122.0 W. CHP Reported brief touch-down 1/2 Mile SW of Codora. A barn lost its tin roof.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/090124_rpts.htmlThe numbers in the link are the date of the report which is set to Universal time (the internatonal date-line.)This is a preliminary report of a tornado I had felt not so much cramps as precursor twiges. Stiffening of muscles near joints top of right thigh and lower arm at the left elbow.They were fleeting and I'd have missed them if I hadn't been feeling out of sorts and wondering why. I think it is the thickening of the tissue at the end of the muscle that attaches the muscle to the bone. Which indicates it is not crystals in the synovial fluids.This begs the question: What is the cause of arthritis? Is it a weakness introduced by straining the joints due to this behaviour of the sinews?Which of course assumes that all arthitics are weather-glasses from before the onset of the full blown illness.A weather-glass is a means of forecasting the weather using a mixture of crystals in a mixture of water and alcohol. The salts and camphor used ensure the instability of solute so fine as to react to the weather.Which would indicate a surcease for the illness, would it not?Originally posted by "The Domestic Encyclopaedia Vol4", by A. F. M. Willich:

    Weather-Glass, or Storm-Glass.An ingenious contrivance of this nature has lately been announced by Wiegleb, in Germany; and the invention of it is like wise claimed by Mr. Francis Anone, of High Holborn:It consists of a glass tube containing a liquor that holds in solution a compound substance, the transparency, or turbid appearance of which, indicates the changes in the atmosphere.Thus, if the weather promise to be fine, the solid matter of the composition will settle at the bottom of the tube, while the liquid is pellucid; but, previously to a change for rain, the compound will gradually rise; the fluid will continue transparent; and small stars will be observed moving or floating about the glass.Twenty-four hours before a storm, or very high wind, the substance will be partly on the surface of the liquid, apparently in the form of a leaf; the fluid, in such case, will be very turbid, and in a state resembling fermentaion.During the winter, small stars being in motion, the composition is remarkably white, and somewhat higher than usual, particularly when white frosts, or snow prevail. On the contrary, in the summer, if the weather be hot and serene, the substance subsides closely to the bottom of the glass tube.Lastly, it may be ascertained from what point of the compass the wind blows, by observing that the solid particles adhere more closely to the bottom, on the side opposite to that, from which the tempest happens to arise.This instrument has been satisfactorily employed both at sea and on shore: being small, portable, and tolerably exact, it may often serve as a substitute for the more bulky and expensive contrivances in common use.

    This deserves its own blog thread; when I relocate the ingredients once covered in the Wikipedia but now removed as far as can see. FitzRoy was so taken with them a large portion of his fortune was spent in supplying them to fishermen and captains all over England.He was not stupid. Just an ill-used public servant in the manner of Harrison and the like.

  24. This is current for Sunday 25th January 2009. It shows potential storms in the South Seas. It is from the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre in Hawaii.Which just goes to show what the USAnians "can do" despite an evil regime. What a contrast to the crappy outlook the British provide, despite their once unparalleled service.

  25. It is just a made up name like yours.I tried to use my own but someone else was using it. So I made one up about the hobby I have: weather and folk lore. I made it up on the spur of the moment trying to log into a computer online for the first time.It took most of the hour I had been allocated.Do your grand-parents know any? I would like to hear it if they do or if you know anyone that might.

  26. my grandparents? 😆 they live very far away, and me, maybe my silly names will make u laugh, so…u have hobby about the weather and folklore? what is ur job now?

  27. Nothing illegal but nothing legal either.Funny thing, I had another twinge again this afternoon and said nothing about it as it was so minor and nothing showed up on the US site. I thought that it must have happened far from anyone that could report it.Then I read about this:A mini tornado generated by the vicious storm of last weekend has caused havoc in the garden of one Port Navas family. http://www.falmouthpacket.co.uk/news/fpfalmouth/4072201.Mini_tornado_causes_havoc_in_Port_Navas/What is weather lore worth?You can't really use it for anything. But they said that about nylon once. And PTFE was just a lubricant at one time.What was the wheel worth when that came out?Nothing.Then someone invented another one.Still nothing.Then they found a way of putting them together to make a wider wheel. The rest is history for you know what they realised next?It was too heavy to use. So they give up on them.Then someone came along with the bright idea of putting a rope through them and inveted boat anchors.So you see, never give up. You'll be surprised, or not, as the case may be.This coming spell is going to be full of tornadoes and very difficult for me. I'll be unable to relax much. If you have family who are arthritic you may want to warn them.I am not suggesting you walk far. Can you find out if they live near a telephone?If they do, you could write them a letter. Tell them to hobble to the phone and wait for you to phone them. Then tell them what I said.Or you could just write it all in the letter. If they are old, write slow in case they can't read fast.

  28. 21 January-27 January 2009New Activity/Unrest:Callaqui, Central ChileDieng Volcanic Complex, Central Java (Indonesia)Nevados de Chillán, Central ChileRedoubt, Southwestern Alaska Ongoing Activity:Barren Island, Andaman IsChaitén, Southern ChileGaleras, ColombiaKarymsky, Eastern KamchatkaKilauea, Hawaii (USA)Kliuchevskoi, Central Kamchatka (Russia)Nevado del Huila, ColombiaPiton de la Fournaise, Reunion IslandPopocatépetl, MéxicoRabaul, New BritainShiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia)Soufrière Hills, MontserratSuwanose-jima, Ryukyu Islands (Japan)Tungurahua, Ecuador

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