Triple Low

ET come home. …


Ok; it's just a representation. Drawn by a scientist at that -but still it represents something a little unusual. What I don't know.

There is an elaborate strangeness in the fact that the time of the phase of the moon should supply us a clue about such things. I can give some very simple reasons for a sensible person to not believe any such a thing:
Consider the time of the phase. Call it 12 o'clock for an example.

Is it possible that the spell begins with the phase? That at 12 o'clock on the day of the phase the weather will suddenly change? Let's say the phase involved is a full moon.

The weather a day before the phase aught to be the same as the weather the day after.
And 2 days before like that of 2 days after.
Why doesn't it work like that?

Because it doesn't.

I don't know why it doesn't work like that. It's hard enough trying to follow how why and when it works the way it does do. But I will say this:

Of all the possibilities the only one that we can all see, the only lunar phenomenon whose behaviour is obvious to all IS the one that we need to understand it all.

I've an idea this unusual phenomenon of the three lows, rather than producing some silly Hollywood trick Perfect Storm, indicates (I'm putting myself in the stocks here) …indicates that there is about to be another eruption in Iceland. Today, maybe even at this moment. By the evening at least.

Of course I'm going to feel silly, even deluded, if I'm wrong.

But look at this:

I think this was the set up during the recent event over the weekend. (Actually the chart from the day before shows slightly more potency. But it is just a commonplace line of them. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsfaxsem.html > Bracknell > Archiv.)

So I could be wrong.

It wouldn't be a first.
But if I'm right, that would be a first.
One for the books.

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7 thoughts on “Triple Low

  1. Originally posted by Sveurop Volcano News:

    ICELAND – Eyjafjallajökull volcano March 22nd, 2010As of 22nd of March, an increase in activity at the Fimmvorduhals eruption on the morning has led to the no-fly zone in southern Iceland being widened.Volcanic activity near the Eyjafjallajokull glacier increased significantly at around 07.00 this morning, with a series of explosions sending a gas and ash cloud 4km into the air.Geologist Hjörleifur Sveinbjörnsson at the Icelandic Meteorological Office reported that the activity which increased about an hour ago was decreasing now at about 8:30 AM. Instead of a large cumulus there are now small puffs, yet they release a large amount of volcanic debris into the atmosphere.The jet from the eruption zone reached an height of approximately eight kilometers. It is likely that it is mixed with water, which indicates that a steam explosion with an increased volume of water has entered the system.The current eruption could trigger a larger eruption in Katla. As of the 21st of March, according press agencies and VAAC, the volcano near the Eyjafjallajoekull glacier began to erupt shortly on 20th of March before midnight, leading to road closures in the area.Several hundred people have been evacuated from their homes. The initial visual report of the eruption was at 23:52 GMT, when a red cloud was observed at the volcano, lighting up the sky.The eruption was preceded with intense seismicity and high rates of deformation in the weeks before the eruption.Immediately prior to the eruption the depth of seismicity had become shallow, but was not significantly enhanced from what it had been in the previous weeks.Deformation up to a centimetre a day since March 4 at continuous GPS sites installed within 12 km of the site. The eruption broke out with fire fountains and Hawaiian eruptive style on about 500 m long NE-SW oriented eruptive fissure at N63º 38.1', W19º 26.4' on the north-east shoulder of the volcano at an elevation of about 1000 m. It was observed from air from 4-7 A.M. on March 21.Volcanic explosive index (VEI) is 1 or less.MODIS thermal images on 21 March show a temperature anomaly where the eruption is occurring. ENVISAT ASAR images before and during the eruption have been acquired, and a series of TerraSAR-X images cover the area.Lava is flowing in two directions, to the east and the main stream to the west. The direction of the row of craters is a bit unusual, going from north to south. Most of the rifts go from east to west.The University Of Iceland Department of Geophysics reported Eyjafjallajökull restless from the 5th of March. This kind of activity has been associated with dyke intrusion events (although the current seismicity is unusually energetic.)Magma degassing under Eyjafjallajökull produced an 'acid pulse' that led to local water supplies become temporarily acidic about a month ago.Eyjafjöll (also known as Eyjafjallajökull) is located immediately west of Katla volcano. Eyjafjöll consists of an E-W-trending, elongated ice-covered basaltic-andesite stratovolcano with a 2.5-km-wide summit caldera. Fissure-fed lava flows occur on both the eastern and western flanks.The sole historical eruption of Eyjafjöll, December 1821 to January 1823, produced intermediate-to-silicic tephra from the central caldera. More recently an intrusion at Eyjafjallajökull in 1999 appears to have been followed by a small subglacial eruption in the Katla caldera.

    http://www.sveurop.org/gb/news/news.htmAll that geological-chemistry refers to the amount of glass in the rocks. In this case it is acid rock -almost all glass. Rock types are classed as acid to basic (alkali) depending on how much metal is in them. Very basic rocks are used as ores.A base is the opposite of acid. (Alkalis are bases that are water soluble.)

  2. Here is the latest sequence from the Met Office:Today sees the start of a new phase.The above set up is based on information that disregards the time of the phase of the moon. It also does not take into account the affect imposed by other earth wide geophysical phenomenon such as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions.But then, …how could it?About three or four years ago the comprehensive move to get rid of human interference in setting up computed weather models hit a critical stage.So many regional stations had become automated and the overall management so centralised, that few meteorologists (not a trade abounding in bodies, given the calling hasn't much calling to start with) actually went out in the rain.In fact the few that do go out in the rain these days are a laughing stock: The BBC seconded, met. officers, working the weather desks there.The result is that it is now too difficult to make accurate corrections to input for these models.In the good old days, an experienced officer, seeing how a computer run was going astray, could correct it with a few quickly redrawn details.They would, with practical experience, grow to know how the weather tended to pan out in their regional necks of the forest.These days the run goes through and then it is compared to previous runs, follow up controls and other people's models.Then when they get a consensus that looks daft they all sit around with one finger up their bum and one hand free to scratch their head.And if the models go pear-shaped, they turn out to look like monkeys.But the problem is, I can't say much different.Today's lunar phase is at 11:00.Mar 23 11:00http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phases2001.htmlWhen a phase occurs at 11 or 5 o'clock, the tendency is for fine weather here.When a low is situated up near Iceland, the tendency is for fine weather lower down our west coast. Near where I live.When the low is on a lower latitude from Iceland -such as it is according to the charts above, the weather here is wet, wet, wet.Two opposing lores.And a potential for crap classical weather forecasts.The blade on which this impasse is judged is simple:If the weather men are wrong or uncertain, then there is likely to be seismic activity.If they are wrong and I am right it will be earthquakes.If we are both wrong then the chances are more like tornadic cells and tropical storms.But national weather models are based on international data and classically, runs take account of the potential for tropical storms.So the tendency is for meteorological agencies to rapidly correct for that phenomenon.And I am left with egg on my face.:monkey: OOK! :monkey::monkey: OOK! :monkey::doh:

  3. Well I don't feel too bad. I don't want anyone inconvenienced just for my sake. And I was one to go out in the rain this afternoon so I feel somewhat mollified.There was some activity in Iceland. But not geo-thermal:Originally posted by I can't say I'm overly awed by the page this came from:

    Posted on: March 23rd, 2010 by Paul MayerApparently Iceland has just recently closed its two main airports – Keflavik International Airport and Reykjavik Airport – in preparation for a very powerful volcano eruption. Just last weekend, an eruption occurred that shot lava high into the sky.Transatlantic flights have been rerouted to avoid the risk of ash blocking visibility and plane engines being destroyed. The volcano that erupted, Eyjafijallajokull volcano, lies just 120 km southeast of Reykjavik.Almost 500 people have already been evacuated from the local area. It was initially feared that the volcano had erupted directly underneath the Eyjafijallajokull glacier.This could have led to glacial melting, flooding and mudslides. However, experts now believe that the volcano blew in between the Eyjafjallajokull and the larger Mydalsjoekull glacier.

    http://www.comparecarrentals.com/news/iceland-closes-keflavik-and-reykjavik-airports-due-to-volcano-eruption-53836081.htmlI've got a feeling this is some sort of script kiddie spam. Loading old news and selling shit on the back of it.

  4. This is the Originally posted by FNMOC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM (EFS) DISPLAYS.:

    A collection of products produced by the Ensemble Forecast System (EFS).The FNMOC EFS consists of 10 day forecasts produced by ten Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) model forecasts (members) with varied initial conditions.The members include: the operational NOGAPS 24 level T159 forecast, a 12 hour lagged NOGAPS T159, and four 24 level T119 breeder pairs.This page is updated once daily at about 12Z with the current 00Z forecast.

    https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/efs/efs.htmlWhilst the links are specifically for the use of those wanting warnings of gales, the highlighted regions show specifics for other interesting geo-physical events.Work out regions some 80 degrees from them and you will find a marked increase in earthquake magnitudes correspond.Let me know how your operating system handles this site. It's certificates sometimes screw with my head.Well I think that's about the end of the road with this thread.Unless disaster strikes.

  5. Everybody makes mistakes:Originally posted by Helium.com:

    Igneous extrusion builds a volcano. A mound or peak forms, built of melted rock and associated materials. Rock formed by volcanic heat is called igneous, from Latin, meaning "of fire".The sides of a volcano can be steep, slope gently, or even form a volcanic plateau. Volcanoes are built around vents or fissures by material from deep within the earth.Where the tectonic plates of the earth's crust come together, where one plate subsides under another, or where a hotspot forms within a plate, volcanoes are found.The Hawaiian volcanoes lie over a hotspot. Mount Lassen in the western United States formed where rock subsided beneath the continental plate. Magma, molten rock, forms deep beneath the earth's surface in areas like these.A pool of magma becomes the reservoir that powers a volcano. When magma comes out of the ground, it is called lava.

    There's three pages of this.What actually happens is that the bacteria that feast on iron ore….The science of geology at times resemble a visit from outer space by a group of research students who manage to land in a sepulchre and realise the occupants are still in the chrysalis state.And fly all the way back home cogitating on the time-scales of human life forms and put other off ever coming back as they'd all evolve before we woke up.

  6. So nothing special occurs with an odd shaped Low. The fact it shouldn't split when at sea meant nothing in itself. What dd happen is that the pressure in the North Atlantic remained exctremely flaccid.That this break up contributed by not resolving into something stronger remains interesting.I can't add pictures so a suitable chart will remain interesting only to your's truly.

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