If the damned North Atlantic Oscillation doesn't get itself sorted out. …
How do you get the spell check to work on this thing? I had it working on a Linux distro I managed to find out how to download Opera to. Or was it Firefox?
Ah that's it…
My memory isn't what it never really was but I would have liked it to be.
Speaking of which:
There have been plenty of phases in the past that have occurred at around half past eleven (and as far as the permutations go; five thirty.)
But I can't remember anything about them.
11:00 and the rest of them, are fine spells when the pressure over Greenland is anticyclonic. The present spell:
http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/19-june-2010-04-29
…. has a vaguely anticyclonic set up there, mostly – it rained here yesterday morning (Thurdsay 24th June) and, IMO, Celia hit shallows on the 120th longitude.
It was doing 100 knots; I don't know what happened yesterday but now it up to 130 kt – a phenomenal speed for winds at sea level. (The molecules in the dynamics would under contemporary understanding, have to push and exponentially large amount of atmosphere out of the way to get up to that speed. And that dichotomy/paradox is impossible.)
Prepostal edit:
I just found out what happened yesterday:
CELIA
Actual measurements
Date Time Lat Lon Wind (knots)
2010-06-19 09:00 12.4N 98.0W 040
2010-06-19 12:30 12.8N 97.0W 030
2010-06-19 15:00 12.5N 97.1W 035
2010-06-20 09:00 11.6N 100.3W 065
2010-06-20 15:00 11.6N 100.9W 070
2010-06-21 09:00 11.6N 103.3W 080
2010-06-21 15:00 11.7N 103.9W 090
2010-06-22 09:00 11.8N 106.3W 085
2010-06-22 15:00 11.9N 107.3W 080
2010-06-23 09:00 12.3N 110.4W 100
2010-06-23 15:00 12.4N 111.5W 090
2010-06-24 09:00 12.8N 114.7W 115
2010-06-24 15:00 13.1N 115.9W 140
2010-06-25 09:00 14.2N 119.0W 115
2010-06-25 15:00 13.8N 118.1W 130
Forecasts:
2010-06-26 00:00 14.5N 119.5W 115
2010-06-26 12:00 15.3N 121.2W 095
2010-06-27 00:00 15.9N 122.6W 070
2010-06-27 12:00 16.2N 123.7W 055
2010-06-28 12:00 16.5N 125.0W 035
2010-06-29 12:00 16.5N 126.0W 030
2010-06-30 12:00 16.5N 127.0W 025
http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/Tropical/Data/CELIA-10.html [close edit]
The browser is a crap medium for posting charts but a copy and paste to a text file of some sort should clarify matters.
Or you could just go to the site and see for yourself. I had to copy the damned thing for fear of losing the mutt. But I digress into my own dichotomies….
When a cyclone hits shallows it diverges to some extent, the extent mirroring the equal but opposite divergence underground:
And we got rain in the middle of a drought.
It doesn't take the Brain of Britain to draw the obvious conlusion. (Marshalled by nit-wits in the CRU and MetO of course, even the Brain of Britain would get stymied were it not for the fact I can see right through the stupid ********.)
It's going to be a long run:
19 Jun 04:29
26 Jun 11:30
4 Jul 14:35
11 Jul 19:40
18 Jul 10:10
26 Jul 01:36
3 Aug 04:59
10 Aug 03:08
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/cgi-bin/aa_moonphases.pl?year=2010&ZZZ=END
11 and 26 July should be wet spells (for my region; YMWV) however these two are at times that are just on the cusp of …
ah the hell with it, the spell for the 26th is a shocker with flooding washing more people into the sea.
Unless the damned North Atlantic Oscillation doesn't get itself sorted. And quite frankly, I haven't got a clue.
But if they do all run through, the saving grace for Britain will be a mother of a thunderstorm spell (not exactly Floridan standards but for Britain, fun) from the 10th August.
But one more day in the life of the spell from the 19th June has yet to run. And I am waiting for that magic Mag 7+ earthquake. (Which should stymie the forecasts aboute Darby and Celia.)
Here is my alpoogy to those having fidiclutfy flowling ymess ays:
Toghu!
OOH!Long time passing: Originally posted by NEIC:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.html
Originally posted by CTV News:
http://www.ctvbc.ctv.ca/servlet/an/local/CTVNews/20100629/bc_coal_mine_explosion_100629/20100629?hub=BritishColumbiaHomeNot quite a coal mine methane blast. The other stuff in Africa seems to be due to mismangement (in illegal mines) too.Alex is now an hurricane in a connurbation that was focussed over the Isthsmus of Panama until recently. (The other stuff is all marked down and written off.)Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:
There are 12 hours between these two, too:5.0 M. 2010/06/30 03:02 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE5.0 M. 2010/06/29 15:33 TONGA REGION.Then this:6.5 M. 2010/06/30 04:31 SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS.
This is interesting: However the spell is not due to end until Sunday.Stay tuned.According to my own peculiar weatherlore, it should be sunny -which it is. And the nights cool (for a British summer) -which it isn't.Not sultry day or night -which it isn't.(Also, I've seen some more mares tails….indicative of storms.)For the outcome to be a severe quake -or the other variation, severe volcanic eruption the weather forecasts have to fail in some major way.And for it to be a tropical storm event the contemporary stuff has to be spot on with more of the same in Britain.Which the above low over Britain precludes.Interesting.
Originally posted by Airirang:
http://www.arirang.co.kr/Index.asp?sys_lang=EngOriginally posted by Associated Press:
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gx7VBbXFdlUJlOsKeTokWpnkiR8wD9GL93381 Originally posted by AFP:
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jbSv6wq5OiyIF1NzJTIYTfAdCVxw
30th6.2 07:22 OAXACA, MEXICO6.3 04:31 SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS5.0 03:02 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE29th Half a day earlier: 5.0 15:33 TONGA REGIONI wonder what would ensue if the large gap was bookended by Mag sixes.Another noteworthy point is the serious quakes following those long periods are generally some 3 hours difference.3 hours is a Beaufort force or a Saffir Simpson F-grade
Tonga's good: Hindu Kush not. Mind me, it is in the middle of the shadow zone… One for the pot?
http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/Tropical/Gif/atl.latest.gifAlex has just hit land. So the ensuing quakes will be over 6M and some 80 degrees from the crumple zone.The arc hits the penninsula of Kamchatka; the date-line on the equator; Western Samoa; Straights of Magellan; Sierra Leone; SW Spain; E coast of Norway and Svarlbad.But the glue had melted on the electical tape I was using to pad my globe from the point of my dividers (and I was too lazy to get another piece.)So the thing was sliding all over the gulf of Mexico. Rather like the US Government hounding BP over its own faults as well as BP's and the earth's.Ah, dearie, dearie me.
L'après-guerre la guerre froide :
Originally posted by The Associated Press:
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5g5mdKf28P4eeusAz7ygcoFxsvNowD9GLMEL00 Originally posted by 9wsyr:
Originally posted by BBC:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/10465678.stm I'd like to post a comment about Alex but though it is a Mexican event, Google reports it from the US viewpoint. The damned news from there even point towards the hurricane causing tornadoes. I wonder how many other countries share such a phenomenon.And finally: Northern Lights over erupting Icelandic volcanohttp://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1290776/Northern-Lights-erupting-Icelandic-volcano.html
Originally posted by El Financiero:
http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&ct2=es_mx%2F2_0_s_0_0_t&ct3=MAE4AUgAUABqBWVzX214egFu&usg=AFQjCNExJSntoth4oXcrKaqlCuUhfhhATA&cid=17593550892218&ei=_eQsTNidMtS1-Aa14vNZ&rt=HOMEPAGE&vm=STANDARD&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.elfinanciero.com.mx%2FElFinanciero%2FPortal%2Fcfpages%2Fcontentmgr.cfm%3FdocId%3D271277%26docTipo%3D1%26orderby%3Ddocid%26sortby%3DASC
Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:
The site is showing a drop in pressure of 7 millibars noon today. Tomorrow the pressure is back to 974 mb.So that is either tornadoes or an earthquake. It is sandwiched between an High of 1018 over Greenland and another of 1017 over the Med. I can't remember what I said that could be. LHL = tornadoes. It must be a quake then? It will be interesting, whatever.
Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:
What is annoying is that I have only recently realised the importance of this sandwich. The detail is in the filling and the devil is in the detail.It would be quicker to wait and see but infinitely more satifying to find the reasoning I propounded and quote it before hand.If I am to do that I am cutting it fine.Pity I haveno idea about a search term. Maybe "Greenland" + "south west"But I was referring to a Low over Greenland and another somewhere to the South west. A classic negative North Atlantic cycle phenomenon. The High running through from west to easrt another anomalous situation; though not at all uncommon for a -ve NAO.Here is another idiosyncrasy:Originally posted by Sydney Morning Herald .au:
© 2010 AFPhttp://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-world/alex-weakens-across-northeast-mexico-20100702-zqzu.htmlThe idiosyncrasy is the birth of tornadoes.They are quite common this time of year all across the US plains. But several cells in the past have been reported in Southern US States as some hurricanes went ashore.I attributed this to the time of the phase of the moon at one time. Then forgot all about the situation. Now I'd like to clear the decks.I don't think the time of the phase has anything to do with the type and track of the storm if one is generated. Obviously the time of the phase is important -all important for the generation of weather types but the location is not so easily drawn from that.The permutations are staggering. Just as they are for tidal constants drawn by hydrogrphers from the finest think tanks in the world.None the less once we get so close to events that we can see meteorological charts predicting one or two days ahead, we can suppose tracks and power.The thing with tropical storms and it IS a big thing is that they tend to occur in regions where the pressure at sea surface levels is almopst always at 1016 millibars.So there are no adjacent highs sandwiching themFunny how I never made that observation before.Maybe god was telling me but due to my limited attention span ans poor short term memory….And lack of humility…Sorry dad.