Wet or wot?

Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

11 Feb 07:18 more wet weather
18 Feb 08:36 This one is in the warmer spectrum of that swathe mentioned above.
24 Feb 23:26 anticyclonic. But this is an unsettled one too

What a wobbler.
And the stuff coming out of darkest America looks just like a tornado spell starting. It would have to do something with the present Atlantic set up first though.

(The North Atlantic charts foretell a tornado when a Low of about 975 runs from North America to the Mid Atlantic Ridge rises 5 or 10 millibars and slips home between two Highs (one of which is in Greenland) so it isn't likely in this spell.)

What IS interesting is that the SSP is loaded with mice, the pink lines with warm and cold symbols on the same side. They ALWAYS foretell earthquakes.

The only reason I can see why earthquakes might be occurring despite the spell being what it should be is that something else is wrong in the system.

Or I am a nut case.
Either way, this is interesting.


11 thoughts on “Wet or wot?

  1. The blue lines with the triangles on indicate cold "fronts" lines where air masses of different temperatures meet are called fronts.The red ones with D shapes on are warm fronts.Surely one means the other is present too? (you are thinking if you are paying attention to a nut-case)Yes but the direction of movement is usually west to east for both systems and the one being displaced isn't shown.The way the curves are drawn indicate the direction they are taking. Eventually one meets the other in an occlusion until then an "occluded front" sticks out as a "singularity" and odd or unusual behaviour or syndrome in meteorology.There are other types of singularities and they all mean something drastic. The North Atlantic chart is truly one of god's masterpieces for the modern age.Just think how long he'd left all that physics sitting there, waiting for the 20th century to come along with all its sophistry and bling, to show us all what he's capable of.In an age when only a nutcase would care to look for god in the details.

  2. The L 996 off Newfoundland is a classic portrayal of an occlusion.As it develops I'll post the daily synoptic from WetterZentrale on here so you can see it. But if you are interested enough, look the charts up every 6 hours on the MetOffice site:http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.htmlI don't know the technical term for the "boat anchor" (L 997) in the Med. off the South of France but that is a pretty good forecast for something too.I can't remember what though. Hurricanes I think.I wish I could grow old gracefully instead of forgetting everything useful like that. (And farting all the time.)Lows in the S of France are pretty much a standard in winter but the boat anchor shape produced by the fronts is always present before the thing I forgot occurs.I'm pretty sure it is a major storm in the tropics.

  3. On Feb 2, 1:09 am, "Bjørn Sørheim" <bsoer…@nixspam.online.no> wrote:> I think also we could get some action from Iceland in> the coming days as a 950 mb low is taking the> island captive very soon.> Katla, Eyjafjallajokul, Grimsvotn, Bardarbunga, or> even Eldgja and Laki…> Let mother nature choose.> > Bjørn Sørheim> > "Weatherlawyer" <weatherlaw…@gmail.com> skrev i meldingnews:0139f3be-1b2f-48a5-9fc2-5c5115373de4@u14g2000vbg.googlegroups.com…> On Jan 30, 1:01 am, "Bjørn Sørheim" <bsoer…@nixspam.online.no>> wrote:> > > Any connection..?> > Not much of damage on the island, but could there be an> > ensuing eruption from the Beerenberg volcano?> > > Was awoken in the morning from an unexpected storm. It was> > all dark, so I didn't bother to look out. Continued to about 1-2> > in the afternoon.> > Mainly snow pellets from the shower clouds, a couple of cms.> > > I think this must almost have been the strongest earthquake> > on (near) norwegian territory in more than hundred years, or> > am I wrong?> > Got no coverage on TV as I have noticed.> > But it's not a quiet normal day, these days…> > Check these out with a compass. You are looking for an arc distance of> 80 degrees from a low and a resultant 100 from an high pressure area> at sea level (at a shoreline or shallows if the wind (Low) dissipates> at sea.)> > 2011/01/31 07:13 4.30 -76.20 4.9 Colombia> 2011/01/31 06:03 -21.94 -175.51 6.0 Tonga Islands> 2011/01/30 18:58 27.20 53.50 4.7 Southern Iran> 2011/01/30 18:54 27.10 53.40 4.5 Southern Iran> 2011/01/30 18:34 27.00 143.70 5.4 Bonin Islands, Japan, region> 2011/01/30 18:04 27.10 143.60 4.8 Bonin Islands, Japan, region> 2011/01/30 17:56 28.10 59.20 4.4 Southern Iran> 2011/01/30 17:05 -2.70 100.10 5.0 Southern Sumatera, Indonesia> > Seismic convergence is an inverse of SSP convergence. Presumably the> creator planned it that way. There is no other logical explanation> (Not counting the physics, of course -which are (is?) obvious.)> > I imagine that epicentres don't count but it is a fairly rare> phenomenon as far as I know. So I haven't really looked at that> aspect.> > The pressure/wind speed at dissipation is a constant with the> earthquake magnitude. (If constant is the right term?)> > Moron hear:http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/I only noticed that there were some frontal systems that remind me of small boat anchors on the SSPs for the dates in question.I've been looking them up since and it seems that there was a link with the volcano in the Congo called Niyaragongo.I don't know if there is a term for that sort of system. There aught to be.I posted something about it on here with links to the volcano archives etc:http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/3rd-feb-2011-02-31?cid=54796661#comment54796661http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/2011/02/16/wet-or-wot?cid=54796181#comment54796181http://groups.google.com/group/uk.sci.weather/browse_frm/thread/60e28a5e1f0cd990/6e7cbba248647303?lnk=gst&q=boat+anchors+weatherlawyer#6e7cbba248647303

  4. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:


    Which says after much editing:Back to forecasting the easy ones at last: Second quarter on the 17th May (2009) at 07:26. (It's almost the same as for this spell)This is a classic wet spell for Britain and traditionally flood plain flooding in the South of France and North-west Italy. The only salvation will come at someone else's expense if there are major natural disasters such as tropical cyclones and major magnitude earthquakes. The "boat anchor" shaped occlusions through southern England and central Ireland along with the low High pressure areas elsewhere on the chart, shout volcanic activity.http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsfaxsem.htmlSo maybe it won't be so wet after all.http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/2009/05/16/17-may-07-26 *******And now for something more of the same:Parallel Conclusions.Occluded fronts out at sea mean a set of large magnitude earthquakes is pending. And maybe not just in one place. I have no idea if we are in for more tremors and I have no ideas where these perhaps sets of triplicates will occur.Actually they seemed to have occurred in a number of places as befits the motility of weather -which is like the wind more often than not in blowing where it listeth.What I do know is worth knowing, if you are willing to stick with it.When a pair of parallel fronts like these arrive, they tend to cancel out any meteorological convergence. This is the death of storms. So the storm that is related to them can be backtracked.HA!That sorts it all out.Now I can remember why I was confident that I had arrived at the conclusions I arrived at in order to be able to state categorically, that storms or anticyclones leaving the Carolinas tend to occur in tandem with earthquakes in the middle of the Aleutian archipelago.Now I know the meaning of the saying: "I have forgotten more than you know." It means you won't have a chance of knowing what I keep forgetting to mention. Maybe I aught to write it all down somewhere…. Oh, wait…*******Not sure if these links will take so don't fret your little selves, the inestimable Weatherlawyer has saved them for your posteriors.So this spell is over and you have all had an opportunity to see what happens when the Weatherlawyer code give a lot of rain to the UK.Perhaps I aught to go and find the regions where there was no rain so everyone can see just exactly how their mileage varied.Perhaps my fans will sort that out for themselves if they want to be players in this rewriting of history. It's a good job I am just an umble savant. (Nice to have a pattern to point to that wasn't flumoxed by too much exteriorology.)

  5. Hmmph.I have no idea what the last picture was in reference to.Ah well it's nice to know my memory is stabilised at pretty damned useless.

  6. Last day of this spell and it has obeyed the rules, more or less, to a tee. Whatever a tee is.The Low to the east is degenerating. Actually it was two lows one west of Britain and one in the Med. but now it is turning into an High over France and Germany: (If you can call a pressure of 1001 mb an High.)((And if you can call a pressure of 1001 mb between two Lows with no 1016 mb to be seen for hundreds of miles an High.))But what do I know?If it does develop into an High, it is in a good position to race east and cause the developing Low just out of Canada to make a nice tornado spell happen during the next spell.There have been one or more earthquakes of 6M or greater each day this spell. Nothing doing so far today but it's early, yet.Nothing on here since the 7th of Feb 2011 (110207; click 11020~6 or ~8 to delve deeper.)It looks like something interesting is kicking in. I can't say how it will develop. It might help if I watched real weather forecasts but I don't bother much these days.I don't even heed the stuff in the uk.sci.newsgroup. It's all based on computation and climatology. It would give a strong indication though but for me these days it just clouds.That eastern Atlantic low has got to get into position between a High at Greenland and a High to the north west of the Azores.If it does, I will be able to follow a pattern called "the five day wave".I said I'd deal with that a few posts back. I never got around to it as I lost my train of thought.If I don't get steered away again by something else, a volcanic eruption or something, I'll pounce on it. Eruptions that don't make the news generally have to wait for the weekly updates to get reported.In the meantime the computer at this library has decided it won't save stuff as a complete HTML page and I can't open .mht files on my computer at home and plain .htm will only open the background stuff, so I can't work with a non Windows box.Personally I think that is a crime and misuse of public funds.But I am not going to let that rattle me. I get upset too easily.If they would just let us use Firefox or Opera as an alternative browser, Microsoft's strangle hold on public and government machines would be broken.But if nobody is listening to me crying in the wilderness about stuff that matters, WTF is going to listen to me belly-ache about that? :bomb: Have a nice day. 😦

  7. OOH!!!Just noticed, the 1016 mb stretches fom Russia to Greenland which makes the chart identical to the early ones from this spell -no I think that was the early ones of the last spell?Lows all lined up along the 45 degree parallel and Highs up (above this time) the 60th.That's interesting…I thinkWhat do you think?(Don't all shout at once.)And I can't save the graphic on here:http://www.volcano.si.edu/reports/usgs/index.cfm?content=worldmapRATS!!! :whistle: Walks off, thinking nice thoughts!!!!!!!!! 🙄

  8. TOKYO | Thu Feb 17, 2011 4:41am EST TOKYO (Reuters) – More than 2,500 people living near a volcano that has been spewing ash in southern Japan were advised to evacuate their homes Thursday after heavy rain threatened mudslides of accumulated ash, a local official said.Shinmoedake began erupting in late January, in its biggest activity in some 300 years. The volcanic activity has disrupted airline flights and blanketed nearby vegetable farms with ash, but there have been no reports of serious injury or deaths.The Japan Meteorological Agency expected rainfall of more than 4 mm (0.16 inch) per hour to last until Thursday night, an amount that the local government said could cause mudslides.The official, in the city of Miyakonojo, said 63 people had moved to evacuation centers by midday.The town of Takaharu, located at the foot of 1,421 meter (4,662 ft) mountain on the southern island of Kyushu, also advised about 250 residents and a business to prepare for evacuation in case it was necessary.

    Forgot to check the news. What a clot!

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