Earthquakes Room 101

Stand by your beds. …

On Nov 6, 2:18 pm, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw…> wrote:
> The anticyclone developing over the UK in the next few days starts off
> with a boat anchor.
> >

I think it means volcanic action of the phreatic variety but I ain't sure.
Of course this being about the time the build-up to events last March started may be just a coincidence. It might be an idea for anyone with acquaintances in Japan to warn of a travelling prequake sequence.

What a coincidence all these are in the same series and (surprise surprise) North Atlantic connected:
2011/11/06 5.2 Mag. ALASKA PENINSULA
2011/11/06 5.3 Mag. ALASKA PENINSULA
2011/11/06 5.1 Mag. TONGA REGION
2011/11/06 5.3 Mag. JAVA, INDONESIA
2011/11/06 5.6 Mag. OKLAHOMA Maybe not
2011/11/06 5.0 Mag. TIMOR SEA these two?
2011/11/05 5.7 Mag. ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE
2011/11/05 5.8 Mag. VANUATU
2011/11/04 5.8 Mag. VANUATU
2011/11/04 5.1 Mag. BALI REGION, INDONESIA …four?
2011/11/03 5.2 Mag. ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE



19 thoughts on “Earthquakes Room 101

  1. I posted charts 00)00 to T 84 (not that they'd be all that much use past 4 days) but I cheated by just pasting the code instead of loading the individual files.I am obviously dealing with a better brain than my own, as the servers here spotted the fakes and refused to show them.It all fals apart into unlikelihood with with a multiple Low dodging all over the place after T 36 anyway. And it's the T36 that is the most interesting at the moment.What will happen if the weather pattern stabilises over a few weeks is a whit crimbo for the UK. And P.D. cold to go with it. Freezing fog and the like.My waste pipes froze last year. It's time I got a move on. My landlord is crap!

  2. get overly protective of the weather. It's a narcissistic attitude that just because I am the only one in England that knows as much about it as I do, I am the only one who knows about it. Meanwhile I accept that others ar far better informed about it that I am.What sillolopy is that?Defensive and epitaxial.There is no one on the but I that realises the spiral nature of weather systems and their propensity to redefine their own limits. For most others, the individual weather systems grow to a maximum and then decline until their attenuation is absorbed in the miasma of other systems.Not understanding the acoustic nature of the weather, nor the isolationism imposed by the source of the weather on the waves it inspires (never having explored the ultimate causes of the weather) people, ostensibly more expert than I, have never realised that when systems at their maximum potency fail to meld, they are less likely to do so when impotent.Shall I rephrase that? of date now as I got a response from my post of the 3rd Mov 2011.Even so there are so many errors in them I can't be bothered.One stated that the weather is bound to be warmer in winter because the water underground is keeping things balanced.The water that falls in Britain is cold in winter and tends to fall more frequently and more steadily in winter.But even if he was wrong for that reason, since WW 1 the loss of trees, hedges and ditches and tyhe abundance of land drains ensures much surface water is run off immediately.And that's just one countermining dealt with.Ho hum.My sausages are cooking.That's something to look forward to.

  3. Originally posted by Volcan News:

    Friday 4th November 2011Hierro Volcano, Canary IslandsEarthquakes have increased at El Hierro volcano in the Canary Islands. This indicates continued submarine eruptions at the volcano.On 2nd November at 18:10 UT there was a magnitude 4.4 earthquake with a focus at depth of 23 km in El Golfo Bay. The earthquake was followed by strong harmonic tremor.On 3rd November there were new areas of yellow-green stained water above the eruption site. There are reports of a lack of marine life within a 1.5 km radius of the eruption site.On 3rd November there was bubbling water above the eruption site and areas of muddy water. On 4th November between midnight and 8:30 UT there were 15 earthquakes greater than magnitude 1.5. The volcano remains at RED alert. is only one cause of underground eruptions for both earthquakes and volcanoes, breaking strata in the reservoirs concerned.Superheated water dissolves quartz (or causes reactions to that effect) and the temperature / pressures at that depth is a constantly altering, little understood physics.The harmonic tremor mentioned in the above quote is also a new physics, first discovered by Bernard Choet. It is related to Water Hammer, an effect noticed in old plumbing where the seals in a circuit are old and leak.Water hammer / harmonic tremor occurs in volcanoes whose cones are capped. It is the only signal we have that their dam is about to burst.But the effluent coming out of the underwater vent also indicate the cone is not permanently sealed. Initially noxious or damaging to the environment the effluent of volcanoes is nutrient rich and over a longer term, benficient to the locale.It is apparently iron rich.

  4. You should be able to get something similar in the part of the world you live in, just look for ASXX Surface Pressure charts at your nearest meteorological office.ASXX means analysis (the finished product before forecasts are made.)FSXX charts are forecasts given in 12 hour intervals (usually.)Archived ASXX charts can be found fairly easily for North America.24 hourly charts going back decades can be found at: is an example to show the relationship with the Christchurch quake: Magnitude 7.0Friday, September 03, 2010 at 16:35:46 UTCSaturday, September 04, 2010 at 04:35:46 AM at epicenterLocation 43.530°S, 172.120°E <<<<The longitude is the same for the following quakes in Japan from then till March and l….well, until one or the other moves a great deal more than a quake will send it. :doh: Depth 5 km (3.1 miles) set by location programRegion SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALANDSource: Institute of Geological and Nuclear SciencesLower HuttNew Zealand*******What to look for in an anticyclone:1. They are larger systems than Lows or Cyclones.2. They bring warm sunny weather with starry nights in summer and cold sunny days and long, cold, starry nights in winter.3. On the cusp, they are great days for mushrooming and walking in woods generally, as in autumn they turn the leaves golden and red in some countries. In spring they are the fresh frosty days that are so promising. 4. In the northern hemisphere they run clockwise; adjacent cyclones running anticlockwise cause a synergetic twin stream between them.(Synergy means that twice the input = more than twice the output.)In the MetO graphic (top) the anticyclone is above the cyclone in the Mediterranean giving Levantine easterly winds. The same is true in the western North Atlantic where easterlies bring Lake Effect winds.(Not so apparent above but check out a few days ago when the bad weather hit them.)In Britain the wind to the west is sending magenta and red frontal weather to a Low in the neck of the Denmark Straight at the mouth of the Arctic Ocean. Svaarlabad if I'm not mistaken.The cartoon mice on the lilac line indicate large tremors and there are probably a couple of Mag sixes on the way to the Aleutians as I speak:Nicaragua:!Where is that 80 degrees from?Ah well, whatever, the Wetterzentrale archives go back to 1999 and you can pick out an anticyclone to suit any 6.5 and greater I am sure. (As opposed to certain -but only because I haven't looked. So, prove me wrong.)

  5. Originally posted by Wikipedia:

    The Gregale (Catalan: Gregal) is a Mediterranean wind that can occur during times when a low pressure area moves through the area to the south of Malta and causes a strong, cool, northeasterly wind to affect the island. It also affects other islands of the Western Mediterranean.The name derives from the Italian grecale, a referring to the island of Zakynthos, in Greece.[citation needed]This is likely to be the Euroclydon storm, from Greek Euros (east) and kludo (billow, surge) or Latin Aquilo (north) "northeaster" or the island Clauda (Acts 27:16), which wrecked[1] the apostle Paul's ship on the coast of Malta on his way to Rome (Acts 27:14).

    It should be possiblwe to rectify the NASA 6000 year catalogue with this last date:I beleive we have ascertained the date that Paul was sent to Rome and th season for the storm. If not then I am sure the "stones will cry out" about it soon.We can't be sure how accurate the lunar phases are computed past Tycho Brahe's time for there were no accurate readings before him.However if we can place the date of the storm then we can surmise the series of phases. They would have to be similar to those causing blocking Highs and there would have to be a sequence of two or three -more likely 4 or 5.If we can find such a sample we may be able to work out how accurate the tables are one day.

  6. The 1016 millibar line is the one that travels around the world.Adjacent 1012 mb lines travel around low pressure systems(cyclones)Adjacent 1020 mb lines travel around High pressure systems(anticylones.)The broad area over the sea surface under Hadley and Ferrel cells (Tropics and subtropics) is 1016 millibars.Notice that the contours in the two above charts are very similar but the frontal lines are in totally different places.I am pretty sure their placings can give a good indication of likely regions that will suffer tremors over Mag 5.

  7. Originally posted by Wikipedia:

    A phreatic eruption, also called a phreatic explosion or ultravulcanian eruption, occurs when rising magma makes contact with ground or surface water.The extreme temperature of the magma (anywhere from 600 to 1,170 °C causes near-instantaneous evaporation to steam, resulting in an explosion of steam, water, ash, rock, and volcanic bombs.At Mount St. Helens, hundreds of steam explosions preceded a 1980 plinian eruption of the volcano.Phreatic eruptions typically include steam and rock fragments; the inclusion of lava is unusual. If molten material is included, the term phreato-magmatic may be used.Phreatic explosions can be accompanied by carbon dioxide or hydrogen sulfide gas emissions. The former can asphyxiate at sufficient concentration; the latter is a broad spectrum poison. A 1979 phreatic eruption on the island of Java killed 142 people, most of whom were overcome by poisonous gases.It is believed that the 1883 eruption of Krakatoa, which obliterated most of the volcanic island and created the loudest sound in recorded history, was a phreatic event.Kilauea, Hawaii, has a long record of phreatic explosions; a 1924 phreatic eruption hurled rocks estimated at eight tons up to a distance of one kilometer.Additional examples are the 1963–65 eruption of Surtsey, the 1965 eruption of Taal Volcano, and the 1982 Mount Tarumae eruption. Phreatic eruptions are no different to large magnitude earthquakes. It's just that they are more obvious and their prequakes more localised.Their chemistry is that of water under extreme pressure and temperature. Aquifers miles under granites and the like are far more phreatic than those under mud banks. A layer of igneous rock might be exceptionally impervious to red hot steam at thousands of times atmospheric pressure.Whatever, the ability for water moving through red hot rock to change the chemistry of that rock is well known, if difficult to reproduce.

  8. Perhaps I should backpedal until I'm proved rightover the obvious but it's just not in me to do that.I am pretty certain the Leonids and the like are example of what goes up must come down, no matter how high.I think it is possible in the right set of circumstances for ejecta to leave the atmospher.If it does that it must reach escape velocity.And if it does that it will be subject to the same laws as man made satellites.And we know wot appens to 'em, don't we chillums?On a more practical noe here is an argument about the frequency of statistics:, there is always an increase in statistics when things get inexplicable.For the more prosaic mundane here is Tuesdane:

    And it's accompanying quake:Mag. 6.9 (Usually marked down after reanalysis.)8th November 2011 at 02:59 (3 am)27.3 degrees North. 125.8 degrees East. (Whre have I seen that longitude before?)Ah yes: N E of Taiwan

  9. The North Atlantic goes tits-up tomorrow: Or not as the case may be. Some tropical storm causing this I believe."Ah yes" you ask "But what causes tropical storms?"Well, don't take my word for it but: 26th Oct 19:56 (According to NASA run of phases:26th Oct 19:562nd Nov 16:38 and10th Nov 20:1619:56 = 8 pm.16:38 = 4:30 ish (Actually an unstable 5 pm.)and 20:16 = is a neight o' clock again. More storms?So the cyclonic spell is over. But the hurricane one is extending the season somewhat: With typical Met Office dilligence I found a decent pic on a Yank site:,-BahamasBloody Margaret Thatcher!Anyway, It looks like the anticyclone has bit the dust.

  10. Do doo doo oodoomDo doo doo oodoom(I just love that tune.) NASA officials tweeted a video explaining how they will monitor the space rock they say will come no closer than 201,700 miles to the planet, almost nine tenths the distance from moon to Earth. “This is the closest approach by an asteroid that large that we’ve ever known about in advance,” said research scientist Lance Benner in the video available online. The asteroid, called 2005 YU55 is about 1,300 feet wide, roughly the size of an aircraft carrier. It’s expected to make its closest approach to Earth at 7:28 p.m. EST, but you won’t be able to see it with the naked eye. NASA said the asteroid will not pose a danger to us. posted by Weatherlawyer:

    Perhaps I should back pedal until I'm proved right over the obvious but it's just not in me to do that. I am pretty certain the Leonids and the like are examples of what goes up must come down, no matter how high. I think it is possible in the right set of circumstances for ejecta to leave the atmosphere. If it does that it must reach escape velocity. And if it does that it will be subject to the same laws as man made satellites.

    Prescient?Moi? Pah!!

  11. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    Do doo doo oodoomDo doo doo oodoom(I just love that tune.) Prescient?Moi? Pah!!

    Errmm no actualy there is a crack brain posting on sci.geo.earthquakes who might have mentioned it to me.
    It is almost impossible to understand the oaf, so I normally ignore him.

    (I still don't know what he was talking about.)

  12. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    On a more practical note, here is an argument about the frequency of statistics: Yes, there is always an increase in statistics when things get inexplicable.

    Magnitude Average Annually8 and higher 1 ¹7 – 7.9 17 ²6 – 6.9 134 ²5 – 5.9 1319 ²4 – 4.9 13,000(estimated)3 – 3.9 130,000(estimated)2 – 2.9 1,300,000(estimated)¹ Based on observations since 1900.² Based on observations since 1990.Somewhat dodgy maths to use two totally different databases for calculating averages isn't it?There just weren't enough seismographs around in the 1900's and what was available were not that good.Station reports may have been wildly innaccurate about their magnitudes and most of the Ricter calcualtions used in those days couldn't apply to building codes of the late 20th century. (The exception being China, possibly the most corrupt gangster regime in history.)(As if any of the nations under the sun were not ruled by vicious thugs with little imagination. Vogons, all of them.)

  13. An eruption is seen from Nyamulagira volcano, 14 miles from the city of Goma, in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo November 6, 2011. The eruption appears to be on a lower section of the volcano, or in a separate caldera, with lava flowing north into a non-populated section of the park. Picture taken November 6, 2011.[Photo/Agencies]'t that just typical?You wait thousands of years and then you get two come at once: Congolese one is just to the SW, off this picture.

  14. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    Mag. 6.9 (Usually marked down after reanalysis.)8th November 2011 at 02:59 (3 am)27.3 degrees North. 125.8 degrees East. (Whre have I seen that longitude before?)Ah yes: N E of Taiwan

    NE of Taiwan = SE of Japan. Here are some more:08/11/11 5.0 M. NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN5.0 M. OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN5.2 M. IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION6.9 M. NORTHEAST OF TAIWANSo…Blocking High to the west of Europe = earthquakes in Japan.Got it?

  15. And that,it would seem, is about all there was to that.There is little left to the present spell, the next one starts tomorrow and the High has withdrawn to the dark north where it belongs this time of year.According to NASA (and my good self) it isn't due back for a few weeks. And even then I wouldn't put money on anythiong until the end of January:Nov 2 16:38 Nov 10 20:16 Nov 18 15:09 Nov 25 06:10 P Dec 2 09:52 Dec 10 14:36 t Dec 18 00:48 Dec 24 18:06 Year New Moon First Quarter Full Moon Last Quarter ΔT 2012 Jan 1 06:15 Jan 9 07:30 Jan 16 09:08 Jan 23 07:39 Jan 31 04:10 Feb 7 21:54 Feb 14 17:04 Feb 21 22:35 Mar 1 01:22 Mar 8 09:40 Mar 15 01:25 Mar 22 14:37 Mar 30 19:41 Apr 6 19:19 Apr 13 10:50 Apr 21 07:18 Apr 29 09:58 May 6 03:35 May 12 21:47 May 20 23:47 A May 28 20:16 Jun 4 11:12 Jun 11 10:41 Jun 19 15:02 Jun 27 03:30 Jul 3 18:52 Jul 11 01:48 Jul 19 04:24 Jul 26 08:56 Aug 2 03:27 Aug 9 18:55 Aug 17 15:54 Aug 24 13:54 Aug 31 13:58 Sep 8 13:15 Sep 16 02:11 Sep 22 19:41 Sep 30 03:19 Oct 8 07:33 Oct 15 12:02 Oct 22 03:32 Oct 29 19:50 Nov 7 00:36 Nov 13 22:08 Nov 20 14:31 Nov 28 14:46 Dec 6 15:32 Dec 13 08:42 Dec 20 05:19 Dec 28 10:21'll run that through a spread sheet to make it more readable and do an analysis of it a few threads up.Meanwhile here are the other MetO charts:

  16. Those two Lows off North America are from the no name tropical storms below: With the one to the south of them, not on the charts, it is a stalled situation one I have termed a blocking Low for want of a better term.There have been no more reports of earthquakes of M 5 or greater "from any place after another" to quote my teacher. Here are the maps for the ones currently on the top of the list: This was the biggest. These were overtly Japanese. (But then, I'm biased.) Roughly in the same area, though to be honest I could have put a set from just north of New Zealand with a similar criteria had they been Mag. 5 or more.And these two are from Chile and Turkey:

  17. Those were the last two charts from this spell.It should go back to something like it was the week before, with this chart:Notice that High off North America. That is out of place again.Probably a tropical storm building in the China Seas. But it also indicates that a serious tremor has hit the Aleutians probably at Rat Islands.If so the sequence of events will be similar to those on the NEIC list from two weeks back.

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