Odd behaviour of the MetOffice Model for the North Atlantic this week (11.11.11.) …
Before I show you the charts running on their web site today (12 Nov 2011)
I want you to try and understand this edited quote from the Wikipedia:
The work of Edward Lorenz based in chaos theory. The sensitivity to initial conditions.
He proposed such phenomena could be common in meteorology. In 1961, Lorenz was using a numerical computer model to rerun a weather prediction, when, as a shortcut on a number in the sequence, he entered the decimal .506 instead of entering the full .506127.
The result was a completely different weather scenario. Lorenz published his findings noting that "One meteorologist remarked that if the theory were correct, one flap of a seagull's wings could change the course of weather forever."
It later became:
Does the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil set off a tornado in Texas?
A domino effect. Had the butterfly not flapped its wings, the trajectory of the system might have been vastly different.
The idea is nonsense. The system is set up by our creator in a way that should any one choose to study it diligently, can be forecast.
What has happened is that the models used have a failure rate that is very large for very little error.
Currently the MetO is asking for more and better computing power as the problem of model run errors is severe. They won't get it we would rather give to the people of Greece what the worlds Panamanian Shipping Lines have taken away from there.
Then there is the money the Top Italians have been paying to the Mafia and to their prostitutes. Someone has to stump up for that.
So much for 4 decimal places in the world's economy. And chaos.