25th November 2011 Quite a spell.

New Moon @ 06:10. This should be cool and misty, it started off cold and wet.

Intense or what? …

Totally different picture from the ones for the last spell.

This one on the other hand is pretty much the same as before but with the deep low further east.

Sparking up in the North Atlantic

Not so hot the Pacific. It's one or the other. Something called the North Atlantic/ Pacific Oscillation.
(But I'm not sure that's the correct name.)

I expect there is going to be a spate of stuff in the lower latitudes


33 thoughts on “25th November 2011 Quite a spell.

  1. Kenneth is a Tropical depression headed out to sea. A 25 knot wind half way to Honolulu from Mexico.The lunar declination this spell is:| NOV 26, 2011 | 06:39:00 AM | SOUTH | -22 33 || DEC 03, 2011 | 01:16:00 AM | EQS>N | – 0 00 || DEC 10, 2011 | 01:35:00 PM | NORTH | +22 33 |The deep low in the Atlantic is going ashore at Norway even as I write: And only two earthquakes so far that registere world wide:2011/11/254.9 M. OFF THE COAST OF BIO-BIO, CHILE4.3 M. OAXACA, MEXICOThe map shows something east of Greenland, so there will be more on the Aleutian arc soon.

  2. Via http://www.jordskjelv.no/ Via Google Translate:… our dynamic planetWelcome to jordskjelv.no, an information site that mostly deals with earthquakes in and around Norway.NewsRecent SubmissionsNORSAR stations registering continuous small and large shocks, most are too weak to be felt by humans. The map below shows the events that are automatically recorded by the NORSAR.Events last seven days (automatic)Red: The Last Day Booked: Last WeekUniversity of Bergen, prepare a separate map showing the seismic events in the last 10 days (based on data from the Norwegian National Seismic Network. See here for more info.Focus100 years after the 1904 earthquakeIt's now been over a hundred years without an earthquake of about the same size in this part of Norway. This seismic silence causes us to ask about the 1904 earthquake was an isolated incident, or whether a new large earthquake is just around the corner. Read more here …1904: Oslo tremble in the foundationsWith a magnitude of 5.4 on the Richter scale, the earthquake that shook the area south of Oslo on 23 October 1904 is probably the Norwegian earthquake that caused the most attention in recent times. Read more here …Automatic registration last weekThe map shows the automatic entries made by NORSAR of earthquakes and other seismic events (explosions, etc.) from the day and seven days back in time. The events of today and yesterday is shown with red symbols while older events are displayed in yellow.The seismic stations used to record the events shown in gray triangle symbols.Click on the map to see a larger version (opens in new window).Seismic events. Red: The Last Day, Yellow: Last WeekDate Time Width Length Strength Location25/11/2011 22:30:55 82.57 37.90 2.00 Barents Sea < < < < < 25/11/2011 15:01:55 67.70 34.30 1.21 Nordvest-Russland/Kola25/11/2011 11:00:17 67.70 34.30 2.79 Nordvest-Russland/Kola25/11/2011 09:38:06 63.31 22.50 1.84 Southern Finland25/11/2011 07:21:58 63.13 24.50 1.23 Southern Finland25/11/2011 06:59:51 50.87 16.40 3.10 Polandhttp://www.jordskjelv.no/siste/auto/The NEIC site is the most comprehensive but it is USA centred. So lists developed by them are primarily about tremors of 2.5 or larger on US territory and everywhere else of more than 4 M.Now I am wondering where to find stuff form the UK earthquake monitors. Siste dag = Last DaySiste uke = Last Week

  3. This is dumb.Nothing over 4.9 yesterday and though it's early it looks like the same today.Is the Arctic blocked to quakes?Has such a thing ever been considered before.(Obviously not, since I am the only one doing the considering. Ah, me!)

  4. So far on: 2011/11/264.7 M. 09:16 -14.7 167.2 VANUATU5.0 M. 06:59 -10.6 -78.0 NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU5.0 M. 06:16 -18.5 176.3 FIJI REGION4.8 M. 01:43 38.8 142.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPANA twin tropical has set off west from southern India. "These" are the new one: Kenneth is still alive with about the same power.: And the intense Low off Norway is about to impact there:

  5. Ensemble?Forecast for noon 26th: Forecast for Midnight 27th Forecast for noon 27th Forecast for Midnight 28th Forecast for noon 28th Forecast for Midnight 29th Forecast for noon 29th I'd call that a blocking low.There seems little earthquake activity. And IMO there will belittle for the duration.El Hierro might act up a little more than normal, Hawaii too. I am just guessing.Of course, these charts will all go pear shaped if the stuff in the tropics kick up.

  6. Originally posted by Wikipedia:

    Stratiform clouds form as the result of non-convective lift of relatively stable air, especially along slow-moving warm fronts, around areas of low pressure, and sometimes along stable slow moving cold fronts.Precipitation is steady and widespread, with intensity varying from light to heavy according to the thickness of the layer (moisture content.)

  7. Fires and earthquakes are spectacular and even storms have their devotees. I have to admit my enjoyment at the phenomena the earth offers us.But for overall long lasting misery it is hard to comprehend what floods do to people. When a fire sweeps out an area, people who can afford to -or have enough family and friends to help them, can start again immediately.But a flood destroys the infrastructure of a whole region for months on end. And recovery is impossible for a very long time.Shops and factories close, transport is difficult power lines are down.Just imagine no hot water for a few days then multiply it for weeks and weeks after the storms are over.Livestock are killed, crops are lost and the stink of decay is everywhere. Everything is damp and in urban areas impossible to dry, you can't even get warm or eat a decent meal in some cases.Unless you have experienced it, you can't imagine it.

  8. It doesn't look like we will be seeing much activity from beneath the earth. So this is the site to bookmark:http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_all.phpOnly one so far today capable of being felt earthwide:2011/11/274.0 M. ALASKA PENINSULASomeone is going to pay an high price for this.We have windy weather in Britain: A slightly different view: The red is the 500 mb level. That's about half the pressure at sea level so it is quite high up.

  9. This is the actual EFS for sea level from FNMOC: And the course slated for the two Indian ocean storms. ***

    Ongoing floods in Thailand kill 615English.news.cn 2011-11-27 14:35:14 BANGKOK, Nov. 27 (Xinhua) — Overall 615 people have been confirmed dead while three missing during the three-month inundation, the worst in half a century, Thai Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Department reported on Sunday.Floods which have widely hit 65 out of 77 provinces have receded in most areas but still prevail in 16 central provinces as well as four other southern provinces. Nearly 1.9 million households or over five million people are still facing flood situation.Flash floods and landslides just occurred few days ago in four southern provinces on the eastern side after heavy monsoons had battered the region, affecting more than 31,000 families.Since late July, the whole country, except for the southern region, has suffered from the disastrous deluge caused by heavy monsoon rains and back-to-back tropical storms.Over 13 million or one in every five Thais have been affected. Tens of thousands of manufactures were swamped, putting over a million of employees at the risk of losing their jobs and causing about 4.5 billion U.S. dollars worth of loss, let alone the economic damage which was expected to be between 23 billion to 28 billion U.S. dollars.


    Much of coastal B.C. is bracing for floods, after Environment Canada issued a rainfall warning and forecasted that anywhere from 50 to 100 millimetres would fall over Saturday and into Sunday.Areas north of Campbell River on Vancouver Island and on the west coast of the island are expected to be the worst hit, and could face flooding overnight.At 4:00 p.m. PT Saturday, the BC River Forecast Centre upgraded a flood advisory to a "flood watch" for areas around Bamfield, Tofino, Gold River, Zeballos and north of Campbell River and issued a "High Streamflow Advisory" for east Vancouver Island and south Vancouver Island, including areas from Campbell River south to Duncan.

    http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/story/2011/11/26/bc-flooding-heavy-rains-wind.html***Following the Western Australian fires, Southern Australian east coast floods killed a three-year-old boy, swept into a storm drain.A town in New South Wales could be cut off for a week. Regional emergency controller Steve Martin said:"It's created an inland sea and it's quite spectacular when you're in the air, but not so happy for the people on the ground."Robyn Faber, mayor of Narrabri, said it was a "cruel blow" for the region's farmers, who had been in the middle of a bumper wheat harvest. Heavy rains are forecast for N E Australia in coming months.Earlier this year, flooding killed dozens of people, swamping vast tracts of the region including Brisbane in the worst flooding in over a century.http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gYB-ZKeA3qtMBzGk2Kgl87I95lJw?docId=CNG.a90c71093abddbeb3704e4d5c37746e4.341More charts here:http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/albums/show.dml?id=9940242

  10. 2011-11-27 14:41:05 5 tonga S. 18.653 W. 174.69111:19:09 4.4 near the south coast of honshu, japan 33.618 137.04111:01:05 5.4 nias region, indonesia 0.157 97.8710:14:11 4.9 central mongolia 45.439 99.22809:12:46 4.9 kermadec island-new zealand S. 30.776 W. 177.30803:59:43 4 alaska peninsula 54.252 W. 162.547 2011-11-26 23:59:54 5 north of svalbard 82.205 W. 5.75522:35:36 4.4 sumba region, indonesia S. 9.505 120.07222:24:33 5 tonga region S. 23.089 W. 175.24821:24:50 4.5 antofagasta, chile S. 23.227 W. 68.52909:16:25 4.7 vanuatu S. 14.734 167.23306:59:59 5 near the coast of central peru S. 10.62 W. 78.08106:16:06 5 fiji region S. 18.502 176.32801:43:22 4.8 near the east coast of honshu, japan 38.811 142.04 2011-11-25 17:35:47 4.9 off the coast of bio-bio, chile S. 37.954 W. 74.97This is a mess and something has happened to the word coast whilst I was sorting them.The idea was to show the line of quakes obeys the same series rule of larger quakes. That is, after Svalbard they run over the North Pole to …Ooh!Kermadec…Oh! Perhaps not.Back to the drawing board.

  11. I can't get the format in Opera but if you copy it it comes right. You can place it in Open Office spreadsheet to give a table separated by tabs or space tab space.Or you can make your own table from:http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/mapping/I was trying to see if there was an equivalent to the east west wave that drives weather working up and down the Ring of Fire.I am strictly a seat of the pants, suck it and see kind of guy.

  12. Here is something I never realised about volcanoes:

    Data Update 26/11 – 23:42A lot of action in the sea means mostly a limited number of earthquakes.- Today only 8.- Depth in between 14.8 and 20.3 km- Medium harmonic tremor with a limited number of bursts.

    http://earthquake-report.com/2011/09/25/el-hierro-canary-islands-spain-volcanic-risk-alert-increased-to-yellow/I suppose it is obvious the closure of vents causes banging, water slap, similar to piston slap but being hydraulic so much more destructive.The opposite, of course is that the vents are open and thus wih nothing to bang against, there is extrusion, weeping, leaks, magma eruptions.The two phenomena together is an eruption. So it is a matter of timing.An eruption has to be an earthquake at the same time as when the hydraulics are literally "steamed up".So, is it one or the other at other times?Think about that one.

  13. The quakes in the Indian Ocean and the Asian Pacific around Australia run in an arc right down its flank to New Zealand.I think I will save some of those so you can see what I mean. I have no idea if the above image link will last more than a day.Meantime, if you click the magnitude setting to show only those from Mag.5 and over, they appear as a straight line. And get this:All on much the same latitude and ALL on similar looking geography. Arcs in the earth's surface. Some under the sea but some on curving shore lines.There is only one region missing, the coast of the Gulf of Guinea, Africa.

  14. Oohya!Something burst:MAP 5.1 2011/11/28 15:06:51 25.179 97.599 28.9 MYANMAR-CHINA BORDER REGIONMAP 5.3 2011/11/28 14:27:57 -5.592 153.561 44.9 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEAMAP 6.4 2011/11/28 12:26:49 -5.532 153.680 50.4 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEAMAP 5.2 2011/11/28 10:35:57 19.098 -66.747 15.0 PUERTO RICO REGIONMAP 5.8 2011/11/28 09:13:11 -7.005 116.997 613.0 BALI SEA

  15. dickheadsRusHow ja like these crabapples? * Line with short dashes Low pressure trough * Line with triangles on one side Cold front * Line with triangles separated by small circles Developing cold front * Line with triangles separated by crosses Decaying cold front * Line with semicircles on one side and triangles on the other side Stationary front * Line with short and long dashes Monsoon trough * Line with semicircles Warm front * Line with semicircles separated by small circles Developing warm front * Line with semicircles separated by crosses Decaying warm front * Line with triangles and semicircles on the same side Occluded fronthttp://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/pacific_ocean.shtml

  16. I knew about these years ago. But you can see for yourself why I ignored them and then forgot all about them. They are as clear as mud and a prime example of what mankind can't do if they persist in fighting one another. Screwed up in all that crap above is a low system of 964 to 950 that dropped to960 and 947 millibars on one pair of charts. They are inside an anticyclonic system of 1028 to 1032 that drops to 1029 and 1029, and right up against the continent.On the other side we have a Low system (I have no idea if it is a continuation of the first) at 978 to 982 that becomes 958 and 973 later the same day. These sit inside anticyclones of1032 and 1025 that become 1029 and 1023.Why they chose to represent that the way they did, when they could have done it like this: surpasses all understanding.The term "dickheads" comes to mind.

  17. Now here's an idea.Suppose that earthquakes behave exactly the same way that weather does.If that is the case then they will be subject to the weather's hemisphere laws.I shall proceed in future as though that was the case proven, in my own inimitable, cock-sure and usually correct style.

  18. Forget about that upper air bollocks. If you want to understand the rest, the colour co-ordination is all you need to know.The pressures are given in shorthand they usually run from 950 to 1050 though the lowest and highest numbers are exceptional.The values are given on a black background in a tiny square to make them extra hard to read.The reason they bother with the upper air or thickness is that they use it to initiate their computer plumbing and get their first instalment of errors to 3 decimal places.It surprises me it works at all. But then, if it didn't they wouldn't use it, would they?Perhaps that is why meteorology is such a preserve for maths heavy science. Nobody else could force computer models to work, not even with breathtakingly expensive power consuming kit.

  19. Almost but not quite across the line. http://wxmaps.org/pix/shemi.00hr.htmlThe explanation to the weather chart:Sea Level Pressure and 1000-500mb ThicknessThe coloured contours indicate sea level pressure in millibars. High pressure is red, low pressure in green or blue. Only the last 2 digits shown — sea level pressure is usually around 1000 millibars, so add 1000 to values in the range of 00-50, and add 900 to values in the range of 50-98.Low sea level pressure indicates cyclones or storms near the surface of the earth. High sea level pressure indicates calm weather. The black contours indicate the vertical distance, or thickness, between the 1000 millibar surface and the 500 millibar surface, measured in tens of meters.Since air behaves nearly as an ideal gas, and vertical distance is proportional to volume over a specified surface area, the thickness between two pressure levels is proportional to the mean temperature of the air between those levels. Thus, low values of thickness mean relatively cold air.The 540 line is highlighted, since this line is often used as a rule of thumb to indicate the division between rain and snow for low terrain. When there is precipitation where the thickness is below 540dam, it is generally snow. If the thickness is above 540dam, it is usually rain (or sleet if the air next to the surface is below freezing). http://wxmaps.org/pix/fcstkey.html

  20. 2011/11/295.3   M. South  4.4    102.1  SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA5.2   M. South  54.5    158.1  MACQUARIE ISLAND REGION5.0   M. North  14.0    119.5  PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION5.9   M. South  1.7    W15.4  N of Ascension Island 2011/11/28 5.1   M. North  25.2    97.6  MYANMAR-CHINA BORDER REGION5.3   M. South 5.6    153.7  NEW IRELAND REGION, PNG6.4   M. South  5.5    153.7  NEW IRELAND REGION, PNG5.2   M. South  19.1    W66.8  PUERTO RICO REGION5.8   M. South  7.0    117.0  BALI SEAI am now convinced the relationship to events on or near the equator concern weather patterns the resultant of 90 degrees from them pole-wards.I can see a tendency for the ones in the southern hemisphere to occur on the same longitude as one another.It has a spread of 30 or so degrees either side of the 130 degree east longitude, which isn't that far considering the distance from the pole the weather is.The two north of the equator are only 14 to 25 degrees north. Thus if the affective weather pattern was 75 to 86 South, it would be at the required distance.But it wouldn't have to be that latitude. It could be the same affective weather system as the others on an arc.It only needs a globe and compass to find out.

  21. We are getting near the end of the spell now though there are still 3 days to go:Just to remind us it ran 25th November to 2nd December 2011. Officiously at 09:52 but of course the moon doesn't swing like that.If things were that simple, it wouldn't take a Lunatic to pursue the puzzle.Here is a ream of charts that quite frankly are getting rather silly. Ram Jam Silly.

  22. I have just plotted the major earthquakes ofr this spell so far and found a surprising result.1. Seven of them are on a Thirteen degree arc, centred just off the coast of South Korea.2. Thirteen degrees is the same arc that describes Australia. I wrote a blog about that about an year ago.3. The Mayanmar/China quake is just off the arc by a couple or so degrees.4. Six of them (five + the Mayanmar one) are on a perfectly straight line running at a tangent to that arc making a P shape. (q shaped actually but a capital Q isn't the same.)5. The Svalbard quake is about 90 degrees from the centre of the circular set.6. The Svalbard quake runs in a straight line through the Japanese quake to one in the middle of Papua New Guinea.7. The Svalbard quake is ninety degrees from the Ascension Island quake.8. The three remaining quakes (South and Central America) are on a similar arc to the other one (just over thirteen degrees this time) with the centre about the same distance from Svalbard.The distances are very approximate as the quakes occurred in clumps as is the way with such things.I find this stuff fascinating.The latest one:5.0 Mag.2011/11/30 @ 22:41BALLENY ISLANDS REGION (61.0 South. 153.5 East.) doesn't fit any of them.And with that merrie note I am off to bed.Good night all.

  23. Another deep Low in the entrance to the Arctic. The line of Highs across the 45 degree latitude is still intact though. I wish I had looked at this one last night when I was wondering about that odd quake out. This one clearly shows the break up of the orderly arrangement. And that is it. No Indian Ocean Storm to show you.

  24. These graphics don't appear to show much. If you open them idividually from the album you can get a larger version and increase that with the control and + keys.http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/albums/show.dml?id=9940242For what it is worth the cyan lines are the important onesas far as I know. They all show an anticyclone on the east of the charts.When the system leaves the seaboard and enters the North Atlantic, for reasons I have never understood, the impact is felt on the Aleutian Islands chain.

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