Something for the weekend

We've just had three medium sized ones. But the sign's up on the wall for a real quake over the weekend. …

Looking at the Canadian EFS for Friday the 6th and 7th June 2013, I noticed 3 Lows in a line across the continent:
http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html
It's there for 2 days running so it will be a big one. A Magnitude 8 I think if not larger.

You have to click on "Pressure at Sea Level" on the "Chart Type" tab. And then move the date to get the slug to shift into gear. (Something wrong with their server on that I believe.)

Click on the tab labeled "Forecast Day" and move it to the required date. You should end up with something like this:

Or this:

Or even this:

OK. You can come out when that one arrives. But the problem is that there is a delay in the system. Not to worry, there are also more safeguards for the wary:

1. Errors in the accepted face of the Weather fraternity.
2. Problems with electronics.
3. People making silly mistakes.
4. Aircraft falling on your head. (Ships getting lost or overturning etc. The usual things.)
5. Ummm. Other stuff I forgot to mention. Like the absence of medium and larger quakes.
6. Etcetera etcetera….

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5 thoughts on “Something for the weekend

  1. Earthquake swarms:http://www.seismo.ethz.ch/eq/latest/index_EN?list=wAll I remeber seeing this last week was stuff around Fiji. So I suspect the quake will be in the Fijian Triangle. At least you would get a nice tan if you went there earthquake chasing. Kuril Islands looks likely too, so hang on to your ticket money.2013/06/04ANATAHAN REG, N. MARIANA East of Kuril Islands Kuril Islands Kuril Islands, Russia Peru-Bolivia Border Regio NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU Southern Peru KURIL ISLANDS SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA KURIL ISLANDS LIBERTADOR O'HIGGINS, CHIle KURIL ISLANDS northwest of of the Kuril Islands KURIL ISLANDS 2013/06/03KURIL ISLANDS NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU

  2. There isn't much clarity on the Autralian charts:http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?unit=p1&type=mslp-precip&area=SH&model=GWhen I think there is a major quake due I look for a perpendicular injection of precipitation from the tropics into the polar region. Although it gets pretty dark under Australia during the week, there is no such jet.Maybe it's true about that Coriolis Farce bunkum, after all?Not on your nellie.It are early days yet. Ther is time for hte BoM computers to turn up trumps.What there does appear to be is a tropical depression judging by the lines under the Indian Ocean on Friday. Short lived.Or not, as the case may be.

  3. A large magnitude quake was forecst as far out as the 31st of August for the 7th. Warnings about the 8th didn't become clear until the 4th but might have been suspected on the 3rd.What a pity there is only me looking.

  4. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    1. Errors in the accepted face of the Weather fraternity.2. Problems with electronics.3. People making silly mistakes.4. Aircraft falling on your head. (Ships getting lost or overturning etc. (The usual things.))5. Ummm. Other stuff I forgot to mention. Like the absence of medium and larger quakes.6. Etcetera etcetera….

    I started working on this subject years ago by using nothing but the information availble for the annual tidal tables in the Laver's booklet available from newsagents and fishing tackle shops on the coast everywhere near Liverpool, England.It had/(has?) the times of the lunar phases on the back page which got me interested in the moon as a first cause. I noticed that a time interval of 1 hour betwen phases was causing increased rainfall during the week of whichever spell.(It was a long time ago and only worked for that first year, I forget when and how.)Since then I found variations in the pattern that occurred with the moon. There is a step or two missing -so it isn't a "first cause" but it is still a valid tool.One thing that is absolutely certain when considering earthquakes is that:When the weather seems to be following the lunar code then both the classical weather forecasts and the hippy weather-lore new age whatever forecasts will be in harmony.If the weather men are giving accurate predictions and it disagrees with the lunar code (in other words when I am wrong and they are not) then there is or will be a tropical storm/massive tornado outbreak or some such above ground rupture.When the code is all wrong and so are the weather men, then there is going to be a major earthquake.I realised the above a long time ago. A slight change in that rule allows for the presence of Blocking Highs. It is now possible to forecast volcanic eruptions (and those blocking highs too once we have had more experience.)

  5. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    What there does appear to be is a tropical depression judging by the lines under the Indian Ocean on Friday. Short lived.

    Or not, as the case may be.

    That wasn't a tropical depression but the TS called Andrea instead, isn't it?

    Originally posted by MIAMI (AP):

    — The first named storm of Atlantic season, Andrea, has formed over the Gulf of Mexico and was likely to bring wet weather to parts of Florida's west coast by the end of the week.

    In this Wednesday, June 5, 2013 GOES satellite photo provided by NASA/NOAA, Andrea. (AP Photo/NASA/NOAA)
    References:
    ยท Updated: 9:13 p.m. Wednesday, June 5, 2013 | Posted: 6:10 a.m. Wednesday, June 5, 2013 – Tropical Storm Andrea first named storm of season; warning issued for west coast of Florida

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