Monday’s Volcanic Eruption

Let me walk you through the opening sequence. (Sticky till the czjd hits the fan.) …

Actually the background to this thing had started some days ago so international services could already have begun gearing up.

First of all an increase in traffic accidents would be just the job to get them on the ball wouldn't you suppose?

Another thing is aberrant human behaviour. People doing nasty and/or silly (and sometimes both) things.

But the biggest give away is that the weather turns to clag. Overcast layered cool weather is a major sign. Begin abstaining from foods that don't suit you. Unfortunately you will begin to crave just such toxins. Take more -better exercise and be alert to do nicer things. You never know when you are going to need an hand.

In Britain, a sure sign that a topical storm is due is misty weather. OK, if the overcast is spread wider and higher that's clag. I invented that name for the application before I realised tropical storms were synonymous with volcanic activity. So sue me. I'm an idiot.

***

By now, if you have been paying attention to the things I have said over the last few weeks, you will be aware that things aren't looking too good. You will have been alerted too by anomalous weather.

So when you saw this: [img]http://gickr.com/results3/anim_ef194f22-17dc-8ee4-0dbd-aab3f2cfebe3.gif

http://gickr.com/results3/anim_ef194f22-17dc-8ee4-0dbd-aab3f2cfebe3.gif this morning, you will have known, like me, what is about to happen next:
[img]http://gickr.com/results3/anim_a41ad0e4-e8ab-f314-1d33-3c075acf565f.gif

http://gickr.com/results3/anim_a41ad0e4-e8ab-f314-1d33-3c075acf565f.gif

The first image is of course the North Atlantic chart from the Met Office. It shows the cyclone moving south. If it isn't moving North west, such a cyclone should be either stationary or moving north.

An anomaly we call that in the guessing game.

The other image is the Southern Hemisphere from Australia's remarkable Bureau of Meteorology. It shows that the two hurricane force storms in the tropics today (23 September 2013) have a volcanic nature mingled in them. Quite exactly how one pertains to the other is yet to be revealed but in the BoM charts, a tropical storm shows up as long flowing parallel lines around Antarctica from 1016 millibars in to the coast.

These go around a complex Low system. The region you should be inspecting runs from 160 to 20 degrees West.

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22 thoughts on “Monday’s Volcanic Eruption

  1. The latest earthquakes list shows very little activity of any magnitude lately. Here are the last few days' world output:2013-09-23 Latitude Longitude Magnitude-10.09 116.00 5.1 Mb SOUTH OF LOMBOK, Indonesia-5.40 152.43 4.8 M New Britain Region, P.N.G-7.79 108.08 4.4 M Java, Indonesia-33.49 -72.02 4.3 ML OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, Chile-0.68 124.88 4.9 Mb MOLUCCA SEA33.69 137.29 4.2 Mb NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU, -1.60 -77.88 4.6 Mb ECUADOR-16.56 -73.00 4.7 M Near Coast of Peru33.19 48.67 4.3 ML WESTERN IRAN2013-09-22 48.62 154.47 4.5 Mb KURIL ISLANDS52.30 160.10 4.0 Mb Off east coast of Kamchatka-13.26 167.26 4.6 Mb VANUATU12.31 143.80 5.1 Mb GUAM REGION58.21 -156.47 4.7 Mb ALASKA PENINSULA-6.27 130.00 4.6 Mb BANDA SEA12.30 143.75 4.8 Mb GUAM REGION-3.56 126.90 4.5 M Buru, Indonesia-3.53 126.91 4.7 Mb BURU, INDONESIA10.37 -86.40 4.6 Mb OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA-0.27 98.48 4.2 M Southern Sumatra, Indonesia-7.05 -80.43 4.8 Mb OFF COAST OF N. Peru5.39 94.42 4.8 Mb NORTHERN SUMATRA, Indonesia12.56 -86.92 4.4 Mb NICARAGUA2.10 66.60 5.0 Mb Carlsberg Ridge0.64 69.47 4.8 Mb CARLSBERG RIDGE2013-09-21 52.38 173.90 5.1 Mb NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS30.80 131.33 4.0 Mb KYUSHU, JAPAN-24.05 -66.84 4.4 Mb JUJUY, ARGENTINA26.15 154.40 6.0 M North Pacific Ocean <<-33.51 -178.09 5.6 M SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS33.92 136.64 4.2 Mb NEAR S. COAST OF WESTERN 43.08 -108.86 5.2 M Wyoming27.93 -105.70 4.8 Mb CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO27.98 -105.64 5.3 Mb CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO-18.61 -68.75 4.7 ML ORURO, BOLIVIA51.92 157.95 4.9 Mb NEAR EAST COAST OF Kamchatka-60.17 -25.58 5.2 M South Sandwich Islands-0.52 120.06 4.5 M Minahassa Peninsula, Sulawesi38.76 43.45 4.3 Mb EASTERN TURKEY51.80 100.40 4.0 Mb Russia-Mongolia border-7.26 119.96 6.1 M FLORES SEA <<Only two of Mag 6. Low mag sixes at that.

  2. Originally posted by tdjmd1:

    Just testing..

    How did you get them to post?I was just about to go to my albums and do it the long way around.

  3. Originally posted by weatherlawyer:

    if you have been paying attention to the things I have said over the last few weeks, you will be aware that things aren't looking too good.

    You will have been alerted too by anomalous weather.

    So when you saw this:

    Just testing..

  4. Leaving aside my problems with BB code, the cyclone in the Atlantic isn't moving south very strikingly. Even so, once a cyclone crosses the Mid Atlantic Ridge, it usually detonates on the shores of Europe almost immediately.My brain is starting to misfunction now so I am going to take a break.

  5. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    The latest earthquakes list shows very little activity of any magnitude lately. Here are the last few days world output:

    Latest Earthquake Worldwide


    2013
    energy
    LATITUDE (DEGREES)
    LENGTH (DEGREES)
    LOCATION/REGION

    09-23
    5.1
    -10.09
    116.00
    SOUTH OF LOMBOK, Indonesia

    4.8
    -5.40
    152.43
    New Britain Region, P.N.G

    4.4
    -7.79
    108.08
    Java, Indonesia

    4.3
    -33.49
    -72.02
    OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, Chile

    4.9
    -0.68
    124.88
    MOLUCCA SEA

    4.2
    33.69
    137.29
    NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU

    4.6
    -1.60
    -77.88
    ECUADOR

    4.7
    -16.56
    -73.00
    Near Coast of Peru

    4.3
    33.19
    48.67
    WESTERN IRAN

    09-22
    4.5
    48.62
    154.47
    KURIL ISLANDS

    5.1
    12.31
    143.80
    GUAM REGION

    4.0
    52.30
    160.10
    Off east coast of Kamchatka

    4.6
    -13.26
    167.26
    VANUATU

    4.7
    58.21
    -156.47
    ALASKA PENINSULA

    4.6
    -6.27
    130.00
    BANDA SEA

    4.8
    12.30
    143.75
    GUAM REGION

    4.5
    -3.56
    126.90
    Buru, Indonesia

    4.7
    -3.53
    126.91
    BURU, INDONESIA

    4.6
    10.37
    -86.40
    OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA

    4.2
    -0.27
    98.48
    Southern Sumatra, Indonesia

    4.8
    -7.05
    -80.43
    OFF COAST OF N. Peru

    4.8
    5.39
    94.42
    NORTHERN SUMATRA, Indonesia

    4.4
    12.56
    -86.92
    NICARAGUA

    5.0
    2.10
    66.60
    Carlsberg Ridge

    4.8
    0.64
    69.47
    CARLSBERG RIDGE

    09-21
    5.1
    52.38
    173.90
    NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS

    4.0
    30.80
    131.33
    KYUSHU, JAPAN

    4.4
    -24.05
    -66.84
    JUJUY, ARGENTINA

    6.0
    26.15
    154.40
    North Pacific Ocean

    5.6
    -33.51
    -178.09
    SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS

    4.2
    33.92
    136.64
    NEAR S. COAST OF WESTERN

    5.2
    43.08
    -108.86
    Wyoming

    4.8
    27.93
    -105.70
    CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO

    5.3
    27.98
    -105.64
    CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO

    4.7
    -18.61
    -68.75
    ORURO, BOLIVIA

    4.9
    51.92
    157.95
    NEAR EAST COAST OF Kamchatka

    5.2
    -60.17
    -25.58
    South Sandwich Islands

    4.5
    -0.52
    120.06
    Minahassa Peninsula, Sulawesi

    4.3
    38.76
    43.45
    EASTERN TURKEY

    4.0
    51.80
    100.40
    Russia-Mongolia border

    6.1
    -7.26
    119.96
    FLORES SEA

    Only two of the above were of Mag 6. Low mag sixes at that.

    Edited
    (The list records various magnitudes:
    http://www.seismo.ethz.ch/eq/latest/index_EN?list=w)

  6. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    My brain is starting to misfunction now so I am going to take a break.

    I had a thick head this morning and a hammering head ache after a visit to the dentist this afternoon; so what was bad diet, what was Novocaine and what was seismic activity we will never know.I think it was a cocktail of all three.This was another headache that got sorted by a +7 M late this morning (2013/09/24 @ 11:31; Southwestern Afghanistan 6.5 Mw(mB)And @ 11:29 the 7.4 M in PAKISTAN.http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303759604579094910032559126.html)[img]http://gickr.com/results3/anim_5f72d545-6b97-6614-55e6-dc500f897b4f.gifhttp://gickr.com/results3/anim_5f72d545-6b97-6614-55e6-dc500f897b4f.gifI don't know what this code is supposed to look like but this is what I got from Glickr:

    [url=http://gickr.com][img]http://gickr.com/results3/anim_5f72d545-6b97-6614-55e6-dc500f897b4f.gif[/img][/url]
    
    http://gickr.com/results3/anim_5f72d545-6b97-6614-55e6-dc500f897b4f.gif

    What I am trying to show is the direction of rotation of the precipitate. Ordinarily it goes South-West the mirror to the direction taken by weather in the northern hemisphere. This stuff is going West-South-West, that is: 2 degrees of longitude clockwise for every degree of latitude southwards.Before the Indonesian eruption of just over a week back, the precipitate was going anticlockwise. So is this a spectacle produced by the lack of precipitate or is the cause a response to the increased seismic activity?Arrrgh!My head! I am going back to bed.

  7. And by the way, as of 10:40 this morning the NAEFS was still showing volcanic activity rather than a mere earthquake:[img]http://gickr.com/results3/anim_90ae41c8-d93d-00f4-5552-3f24639249ff.gifhttp://gickr.com/results3/anim_90ae41c8-d93d-00f4-5552-3f24639249ff.gifhttp://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2013/09/eruption-update-for-september-23-2013-sinabung-veniaminof-and-klyuchevskoi/

    [url=http://gickr.com][img]http://gickr.com/results3/anim_90ae41c8-d93d-00f4-5552-3f24639249ff.gif[/img][/url]
    
    http://gickr.com/results3/anim_90ae41c8-d93d-00f4-5552-3f24639249ff.gif
  8. Originally posted by Weatherlawyer:

    This was another headache that got sorted by a +7 M late this morning

    Latest Earthquake Worldwide


    2013
    energy
    time
    LOCATION/REGION

    09-24
    7.4
    11:31
    PAKISTAN

    6.5
    11:29
    Southwestern Afghanistan

    Killer Quake Strikes Western Pakistan
    U.S. Geological Survey Reports Quake Had Magnitude of 7.7, at Least 40 Dead

    <p>[img=http://gickr.com/results3/anim_5f72d545-6b97-6614-55e6-dc500f897b4f.gif]
    [/quote]

  9. This animation is from the Wednesday after the Monday before. Seriously, I had alt of difficulty preparing animations until I realised they were building up layers that were discolouring the product.Look at the precipitate south of Madagascar. It flows to the west (clockwise) and goes around the outside of the three point system south and west of Australia. Initially the effect is to compress all the air into one enormous blocking Low under Australia.The remains of the system that is the counterpart of Cat 2 Typhoon Pabuk is seen opposit from South America to South Africa. It had reached across Drake Passage into the Pacific. A long stretch of low pressure isobars.Let me explain:Instead of merging to increase pressure (although that does happen anyway) the outer isobars extend to eventually run parallel to the continent of Antarctica for nearly half the continent. This occurs towards the end of the run after the initial blocking Low under Australia had dispersed.

  10. Looking at the originals, the last chart in the series shows the 1000 millibar line extends almost right around the continent. Certainly it runs from 20 East to 100 West.It isn't as clean as it might be but that sounds like I am trying to hedge my bet. I'm not. I think things on here could change dramatically:Pabuk would become extra-tropical if it moved much further north. But it could hold it's station whilst increasing. The thing is an increase of category to 4 would mean a volcanic eruption wouldn't it?Wouldn't you think people would remember powerful storms that occurred along with massive eruptions?

  11. Yep!The greatest change in the two charts above is that in the Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean, there is now an High where yesterday was a complex Low.Am I good or what?Time to give thanks to my maker I believe: Thank you Jehovah for revealing to me many stupendous things. Sorry I left it too late to be nice. I would especially like to thank you for beer and oatcakes. And for the latest revelation of haslet and cheese oatcakes. And this stuff, of course.There doesn't appear to be any limit to your largesse on this splendid sunny Autumn day. I wish they were all like this. (for a certain parameter of comfort.)Thanks once again.Mike.PS.Any chance of some sort of stereopics for images like these on the web please?

  12. Originally posted by Volcano Discovery:

    Telica, one of the most active volcanoes in Nicaragua, is a group of overlapping cones and craters on a broad NW line. The most prominent vent is a 700 m wide and 120 m deep double crater at the summit. The southern summit has been the source of Telica's recent eruptions.The older Santa Clara vent at the SW end of the edifice erupted in 16th century and is now covered with vegetation. Another vent El Liston, immediately SE of Telica, is another volcanic edifice with several nested craters. Fumaroles and boiling mudpots are found at Hervideros de San Jacinto, SE of Telica. This prominent geothermal area is popular among tourists and the site of nearby geothermal exploration.2007 eruptions: ash emissionsIn January and February 2007, there were small ash eruptions producing ash clouds reaching altitudes of 5000 ft (1,8 km).1999-2000 eruptionsTelica volcano became active in August 1999. On 10 August 1999, an eruption produced ash fall 20 km WSW of Telica in the city of Chichigalpa.A lava lake in the summit crater was observed on 18 August. The ash eruptions continued until February 2000 and declined afterwards.

    http://www.volcanodiscovery.com/telica.htmlSomewhere along the lines of fronts on here is a signal for the events of last night: Somewhere along the lines of fronts on here it will have changed slightly. Especially if there is no more to be seen there or if there is more to be seen elsewhere: OTOH, I may be wrong. (Yes, folks. That can happen. I know, it's hard to believe but occasionally I get one wrong.)

  13. Originally posted by RND:

    BIG NEWS TODAY.Friday, September 27, 2013.Cambodia flooding kills 23, affects around 56,900 familiesFriday, September 27, 2013Cambodia flooding kills 23Flooding in Cambodia has claimed lives of at least 23 people in the last two weeks, National Committee for Disaster Management (NCDM) said today. Cambodia flooding has affected around 56,900 families in seven different provinces. Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen has advised concerned ministries and authorities to be on high alert and prepare to evacuate people. Low pressure system and Wutip typhoon have been causing heavy…Read more …No comments:Dust storm in Arizona causes multiple car crashesA dust storm has closed a 14-mile stretch of a state highway in the Casa Grande, Arizona for nearly three hours, local medias reported. According to the Arizona Department of Transportation, low visibility and the multiple car crashes forced the closure of road. Gusty winds dropped visibility to 1 mile, My Fox Phoenix reported. However no serious injuries have been reported in car crash accidents.***Thursday, September 26, 2013Telica volcano in western Nicaragua spews ash 50 meters into the airTelica volcano in western Nicaragua has spewed ash 50 meters into the air, the National System for Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (SINAPRED) said. Villagers near the Telica volcano were put alert and told to protect their water and food sources. No injuries have been reported. Telica's largest eruption occurred in 1529, rated with a VEI of 4. ***Wednesday, September 25, 201340,000 evacuated amid Gujarat floodingAround 40,000 people have been evacuated and moved to safe place following heavy flooding in Gujarat, India in last two days. According to India Today, the Ahmedabad Fire Department has send three rescue teams to Vadodara and Bharuch to assist in rescue operations. Schools and colleges in Ahmedabad, Surat and Bharuch have been closed and scheduled exams have been postponed. Several train services between Ahmedabad and Mumbai…Very Strong earthquake near Acari, Peru injures 26***Update September 26, 2013The news that 3 miners who were reported killed in the 4 horas mine in Caraveli (as reported by the authorities) is false. They were found alive as the management of the company reported later. At least 12 miners got injured in this mine. Another 14 people got injured in Caraveli. ***Tuesday, September 24, 201324 killed in flash floods in VietnamRecent flash floods in Vietnam have claimed lives of at least 24 people and injured six others. Fatalities are from Dak Lak, Ha Tinh, Nghe An, Quang Nam, and Quang Tri Provinces of Vietnam. Following Center for Flood and Storm Control in central Vietnam, storm has destroyed thousands of houses and 2,491 hectares of rice. Original post:Bolivia landslide kills 16, injures 18:A landslide in Bolivia triggered by torrential rain has claimed lives of at least 16 people and injured 18 others. Landslide swept away a bus, a minibus and a cart in Caranavi area, about 180 kilometers from La Paz. Others 10 people have been rescued. An unknown number of people are still reported to be missing. Landslide in Bolivia in February 2011 had destroyed more than 300 houses. 7.7 magnitude earthquake in Pakistan kills 400, Awaran declares emergencySeptember 26, 2013 -Death toll has risen to 400. More than 600 people reported to be injured. -Another “Mud Volcano Island” has appeared on the Makran coast. The new island is located near River Basil. -The National Disaster Management Authority has provided 5,000 tents and 7,000 food packs for the affected people in Awaran and Kech districts…***Monday, September 23, 2013Tornado in Brazil kills 2, injures 64Tornado in Taquarituba city of Brazil has claimed lives of two people and injured sixty four others. Tornado broke out on Sunday in Brazil city of Taquarituba, 200 miles south of the capital Sao Paulo. Tornado in Brazil overturned a vehicle, killing the driver and injuring others. Other death occurred in a gym. Tornado also cut electricity and telephone services which are yet to be restored, the EFE news agency reported.Floods, landslides in Zambales kill 30Landslides and floods triggered by monsoon rains have claimed lives of at least 30 people in Zambales province of Philippines on Monday. Two separate landslides in Barangay Wawandue and Barangay San Isidro in Subic town claimed at least 18 lives, ABS-CBN has reported quoting Mayor Jefferson Khonghun. Five people have been killed in Castillejos, Zambales. Other bodies have been retrieved from a landslide in Barangay Aglao,…Dangerous storm hits Perth, 20,000 without powerAbout 20,000 homes have been left without power after violent 146km/h winds hit the South West and metropolitan Perth, Australia. According to the Western Power, about 20,000 customers are without electricity, mainly in areas around Manjimup, Busselton, Augusta and Bunbury. A helicopter has been deployed to inspect the transmission line…

    My eyes popped out of my head this morning after leg cramps woke me again. Then I realised that the chart on the front paage was reporting stuff from much earlier in the year.This is from the tab that says:"Special Reports" slightly more UTD. But I have the suspicion it is still behind the reporting of my calves. (It is extraordinarily difficult to keep to a regimen that proscribes food when one is a greedy pig! )

  14. I've been feeling a bit lacklustre lately with a touch of "It wasn't me; I didn't do it".And despite the leg cramps and the reports of earthquakes in one place after another, the recent eruption and the fact that I "just knew" better… the fact remains I lost a little faith in myself.Not enough though. I am just off for some oat-cakes, cheese and haslett then when I get back, I'll explain why.

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