Storms in the southern hemisphere

I remember seeing something on the Australian charts a few weeks ago that made me believe the ice around Antarctica was about to start decreasing in extent. The cycle of storms continued for a short while -with some tremendously powerful ones. Then the “pointing” was done with.

For the last few days all the charts I have been watching were giving unsettling signals that I couldn’t decipher. (Pictures later I am not organised, yet.) But there is this:

14 November 2014.abiosair1

In case you are wondering, it isn’t a positive signal, just an indication… that things have moved south for the winter.  More later, it is interesting (if you consider forecasting the impossible more interesting than watching grown men kicking an over inflated bladder around an overly manicured field or (for that matter) a crew of bifurcated nose jobs with bipolar disorder pimping and preening on the silver screen) so call in and see it sometime.

sci.geo.earthquakes ›

It’s Over Oct 26 (2014)
2 posts by 1 author (me)

I think Antarctica is heading for Winter.

***

On Sunday, 26 October 2014 08:13:06 UTC, Weatherlawyer  wrote:
>
> I think Antarctica is heading for Winter.

I don’t how whatever has just happened at Antarctica has happened. I know it happens each year at roughly the same date. It will now start to affect the way that tropical storms behave. As it would if the seasons for the storms are due to change.

What has become obvious is that with the change in the ocean current the units of air surrounding the continent are smaller and more motile. Presumably it is still business as usual but it will soon become obvious it is not quite…

There is an example of the usual thing about to occur on the coast there at 20 W. to 40 E. by Thursday night.

What?
I can’t say.
We are due for all sorts of things. It looks like an earthquake series but…

There is a system focussed just off the coast at 140 E at the moment, wrapping itself around the coast and elongating far out to the west. That looks like a bad tornado spell but then it also looks like a volcanic eruption signal.

Maybe it’s both. Look at the dark centre, miles off-shore on Wednesday morning. That could be a tornado spell until Friday then by Saturday it disappears.

But it is about time for the new spell by then I think:
http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/phase/phases2001.html
Yes, the 31st. Wet and thundery. That’s Friday.

Well I may not know what is going to happen but I am pretty sure the timing is right but then, I’m not handling that aspect of things.

Am I?

Heading south. The unusual signalling in the Northern Hemisphere has given way to the first apparition that is the state of things to come in the Southern Hemisphere:

“ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZNOV2014//
RMKS

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.”

And:

“ABIO10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZNOV2014//
RMKS/

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S 79.7E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.1S 76.3E, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH-EAST OF
DIEGO GARCIA.”

So that was the post. The Antarctic system still had to complete a couple of cycles. There is a slight difference with the end of the ice extent and the switch to the southern hemisphere. The latter is controlled by the extent of the ice -or the lack thereof. There is a lot to be learned from all this but the path of the unrighteous one is pretty well marked out. (Think cohesive pressures on the isobars of the ITCZ) (well, we all have to start somewhere.)

And I can’t be bothered looking for more pictures just to emphasise my confusion. Maybe tomorrow and anyway, that was then.

2014/11/15
0.369 -8.7 118.33 4.5 Mb SUMBAWA REGION, INDONESIA
0.341 1.83 126.45 4.5 Mb MOLUCCA SEA
0.259 1.99 126.67 4.7 Mb MOLUCCA SEA
0.222 -17.28 -69.91 5.2 ML SOUTHERN PERU
0.208 1.69 126.46 4.5 M Northern Molucca Sea
0.170 1.95 126.59 5 Mb MOLUCCA SEA
0.164 1.75 126.48 4.7 Mb MOLUCCA SEA
0.141 1.9 126.59 4.8 Mb MOLUCCA SEA
0.136 45.1 146.8 4.4 Mb Kuril Islands
0.130 -0.14 123.91 5.8 Mb Minahassa Peninsula, Sula
0.112 35.68 22.64 4.4 mb Central Mediterranean Sea
0.105 1.93 126.55 7.1 M Northern Molucca Sea
0.0393 38.14 142.05 4.6 Mb NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU
0.022 45.1 151.6 4.1 Mb Kuril Islands
0.0129 -12.66 -76.75 5.6 Mb Near coast of Peru
0.012 -12.7 -77.3 5.6 Mb Near coast of Peru
0.010 13.81 -90.29 4.7 Mb GUATEMALA
2014/11/14
0.960 37.1 104.23 4.9 Mb NEI MONGOL-NINGXIA-GANSU,
0.840 -18.88 169.44 4.8 Mb VANUATU
0.707 -7.57 119.87 4.5 Mb FLORES SEA
0.476 64.63 -17.2 5.1 Mb ICELAND
0.410 51.99 176.74 5 Mb RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISL
0.328 -4 142.72 4.9 Mb NEW GUINEA, PAPUA NEW GUI
0.256 52.26 161 5.1 Mb OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHAT
0.178 47.3 148.31 5.8 Mb northwest of the Kuril Is
0.177 45.22 150.93 5.7 Mb Kuril Islands, Russia

The fractions in the first column are parts of the day. I forgot to save the spread sheet as text so it kindly converted it to gibberish for me. Thanks Calc.

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